The School of Odds
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IK Sirius v AIK

2026-10-24 13:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 60.18%1.66fair odd
EV -5.52%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -9.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.67%60.18%60.18%61.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.511.521.5771.43%66.27%65.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 18.36%5.45fair odd
EV +2.83%
Edge +0.505%
Kelly +0.615%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.37%18.36%18.36%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.055.065.6022.22%19.79%19.76%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.46%4.66fair odd
EV +0.864%
Edge +0.184%
Kelly +0.233%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.69%21.46%21.46%21.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.314.304.7025.32%23.19%23.26%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Sirius (Local): 60.18%; AIK (Visit): 18.36%; Draw: 21.46%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.45. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.60, producing a positive expected value of +2.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +2.83%E +0.505%K +0.615%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +0.864%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-17 13:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +2.83%E +0.505%K +0.615%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +0.864%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-17 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.52%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +2.83%E +0.505%K +0.615%G +0.017%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV +0.864%E +0.184%K +0.233%G +0.002%2.8%2026-10-17 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.19%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -3.43%E -0.762%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 13:22
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:20
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:20
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -7.93%E -5.18%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -4.51%E -0.868%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-17 13:20
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -7.33%E -4.76%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.22%EV -5.98%E -1.17%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -5.57%E -1.27%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-17 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -8.53%E -5.61%K -16.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -8.19%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -9.87%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.73%E -6.49%K -19.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.19%E -1.64%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.87%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-17 13:20
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -9.73%E -6.49%K -19.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -10.02%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -9.87%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-17 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -10.34%E -6.94%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -10.02%E -2.05%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -12.01%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -10.94%E -7.39%K -22.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -11.86%E -2.47%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.01%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-17 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.91%EV -10.94%E -7.39%K -22.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.47%EV -11.86%E -2.47%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.62%EV -12.01%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-17 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.23%EV -12.14%E -8.32%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.32%EV -11.86%E -2.47%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.45%EV -12.01%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-17 13:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 60.40%EV -15.75%E -11.25%K -39.38%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.19%EV -14.61%E -3.14%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.41%EV -15.23%E -3.86%K -5.16%G +0.000%18.3%2026-10-17 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.90%EV -11.54%E -7.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -15.53%E -3.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.87%E -2.35%K -3.08%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-17 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.67%EV -12.74%E -8.79%K -28.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -17.37%E -3.86%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.10%EV -12.01%E -2.93%K -3.88%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-17 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 59.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%13.4%2026-10-17 13:55