The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IK Sirius v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 13:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 1–2 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Sirius (Local)

Prediction 61.10%1.64fair odd
EV -3.47%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -5.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.74%60.96%61.15%62.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.521.521.5871.43%65.91%65.57%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 18.20%5.49fair odd
EV +1.94%
Edge +0.346%
Kelly +0.421%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.32%18.32%18.16%19.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.065.085.6022.22%19.77%19.69%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.70%4.83fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.503%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.75%20.72%20.69%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.394.354.7425.00%22.79%22.99%21.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Sirius (Local): 61.10%; AIK (Visit): 18.20%; Draw: 20.70%. For AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.94%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 12:41
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.94%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 12:41
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.94%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.37%EV +1.94%E +0.346%K +0.421%G +0.008%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.69%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.732%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-24 12:40
Betsson🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.14%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.32%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.54%EV -4.16%E -0.898%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 12:41
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.37%EV -2.61%E -0.489%K -0.601%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 12:41
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.92%EV -3.47%E -2.19%K -5.98%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.16%EV -3.52%E -0.665%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.92%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-24 10:28
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.68%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.52%E -0.665%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.68%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.52%E -0.665%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.68%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -3.52%E -0.665%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.52%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 12:55
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.73%EV -9.58%E -6.47%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -3.52%E -0.665%K -0.820%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.75%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 12:42
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.30%E -3.42%K -9.64%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.09%EV -3.71%E -0.701%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.19%EV -1.88%E -0.397%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-24 12:45
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.84%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -2.71%E -0.576%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.42%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 08:50
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.57%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.48%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 06:55
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -7.74%E -5.13%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.02%E -2.83%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 06:54
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 12:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -4.43%E -0.845%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-24 12:35
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:41
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:40
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:41
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.60%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.45%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 12:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.73%EV -11.41%E -7.87%K -25.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.49%EV -5.34%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 12:06
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.25%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 12:39
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.23%EV -6.25%E -1.21%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -4.78%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-24 12:40
GTbets🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.37%EV -4.69%E -3.01%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -7.16%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%EV -7.88%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-19 08:35
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.16%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 12:45
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.73%EV -5.91%E -3.84%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.48%EV -7.89%E -1.56%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 06:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-24 12:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.03%EV -7.13%E -4.69%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.25%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 06:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 12:41
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 06:54
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.12%EV -9.58%E -6.47%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.79%EV -9.95%E -2.29%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-24 12:41
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.42%EV -10.19%E -6.93%K -21.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -8.99%E -1.80%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:45
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.12%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 12:41
TABtouch🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.97%EV -8.97%E -6.02%K -18.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.24%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 12:41
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.13%EV -9.58%E -6.47%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.16%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.13%EV -9.58%E -6.47%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.16%EV -10.81%E -2.21%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -15.13%E -3.69%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-24 12:41
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.79%EV -10.19%E -6.93%K -21.68%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.43%EV -11.72%E -2.42%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.78%EV -10.99%E -2.56%K -3.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-24 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -4.08%E -2.60%K -7.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -10.37%E -2.39%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 06:35
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.10%EV -5.30%E -3.42%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.09%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 06:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.76%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.99%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 08:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 06:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 06:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -6.52%E -4.26%K -12.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-24 06:30
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 12:55
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -12.63%E -2.63%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-24 12:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -5.30%E -3.42%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -13.54%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.85%E -1.52%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-24 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.42%EV -14.46%E -10.33%K -36.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.10%EV -13.54%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.47%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%16.3%2026-10-24 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.31%EV -9.58%E -6.47%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.40%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -8.92%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 08:50
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -16.27%E -3.54%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-24 06:51
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -5.30%E -3.42%K -9.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -18.09%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -17.20%E -4.30%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 06:35
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -8.35%E -5.57%K -16.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -18.09%E -4.02%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -13.06%E -3.11%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-24 07:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.4%2026-10-24 12:55
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.62%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.47%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%0.4%2026-10-24 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-10-24 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.42%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.85%0.8%2026-10-24 12:50
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.77%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%0.8%2026-10-24 12:55

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.