Language:English
IFK Goteborg v Västerås SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Goteborg (Local)
Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.69%
Kelly -6.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.30%55.53%55.43%57.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.661.661.7264.10%60.34%60.24%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Västerås SK (Visit)
Prediction 21.02%4.76fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.28%
Growth +0.065%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.44%21.04%21.15%22.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.424.405.0026.32%22.60%22.73%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.53%4.25fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -0.863%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.99%23.44%23.41%24.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.904.1027.78%25.66%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Goteborg (Local): 55.45%; Västerås SK (Visit): 21.02%; Draw: 23.53%. For Västerås SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.76. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV +5.11%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.065% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.54%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV +5.11%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.065% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.54%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.85%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV +5.11%E +1.02%K +1.28%G +0.065% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.71%EV -3.54%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 20.12%EV -0.779%E -0.165%K -0.209%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -1.20%E -0.255%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -3.30%E -0.718%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.05%EV -3.77%E -0.922%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-02 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -3.30%E -0.718%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 20:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.54%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -3.30%E -0.718%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.54%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -4.71%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 16:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.63%EV -4.35%E -0.957%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -4.71%E -1.16%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-02 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.38%EV -7.95%E -4.79%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.54%E -0.863%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-29 22:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 01:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 01:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 00:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-27 01:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -9.06%E -5.52%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.40%E -1.20%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.52%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -6.03%E -1.35%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.36%EV -4.95%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-03 02:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -4.62%E -2.69%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.21%EV -6.45%E -1.45%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.07%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-22 13:18 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 21:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.35%EV -6.29%E -3.72%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -11.77%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -10.72%E -6.66%K -17.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -7.51%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -12.95%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -8.56%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -12.95%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.55%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.43%EV -8.56%E -1.97%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -12.95%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-30 19:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 23:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -8.98%E -2.07%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-03 23:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.37%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -9.61%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 21:03 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.65%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -9.61%E -2.23%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -12.95%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-04 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.73%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -10.66%E -2.51%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 20:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 17:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -7.40%E -4.43%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 21:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.62%EV -6.84%E -4.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.24%E -2.11%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-02 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.73%EV -8.51%E -5.15%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.71%E -2.79%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -10.60%E -2.79%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-05 12:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.83%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.14%EV -12.76%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-01 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.45%EV -13.50%E -8.65%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.85%EV -12.76%E -3.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.70%EV -14.12%E -3.87%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.07%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -13.81%E -3.37%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.17%EV -9.42%E -2.45%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -12.94%E -8.24%K -22.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -15.91%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -5.89%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -11.28%E -7.05%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -15.91%E -3.98%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -11.77%E -3.14%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-10-04 18:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.30%EV -10.17%E -6.28%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -20.12%E -5.29%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -15.30%E -4.25%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-02 21:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.65% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |