StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg v Örgryte IS

2026-08-30 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Matchresultat

36 spelbolag (9 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Goteborg (Hemma)

Prognos 59.82%1.67rättvist odds
EV -6.08%
Fördel -3.87%
Kelly -10.66%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
58.21%59.76%59.84%62.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.451.521.521.5768.97%65.90%66.01%63.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Örgryte IS (Borta)

Prognos 18.42%5.43rättvist odds
EV +6.84%
Fördel +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Tillväxt +0.097%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.73%18.43%18.34%20.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.305.105.105.8023.26%19.60%19.61%17.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.76%4.60rättvist odds
EV +0.074%
Fördel +0.016%
Kelly +0.021%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
21.09%21.81%21.82%22.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.904.224.204.6025.64%23.72%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: IFK Goteborg (Hemma): 59.82%; Örgryte IS (Borta): 18.42%; Oavgjort: 21.76%. För Örgryte IS (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.43. 8 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 5.80, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +6.84%.

Spelbolagsodds (36 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:49
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -2.37%E -0.447%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -2.37%E -0.447%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.30%EV -5.32%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.42%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -11.46%E -7.74%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -13.25%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 19:44
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.69%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.80%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 17:18
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:15
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:19
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 19:13
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -3.68%E -2.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -5.80%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.12%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.48%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.27%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -16.24%E -4.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -15.27%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.41%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.11%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -17.11%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -15.15%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -18.95%E -4.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -11.46%E -7.74%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -20.79%E -4.84%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-23 17:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 58.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%13.3%2026-08-23 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 15:39