Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg v Örgryte IS

2026-08-30 14:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 59.82%1.67cote équitable
EV -6.08%
Avantage -3.87%
Kelly -10.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.21%59.76%59.84%62.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.451.521.521.5768.97%65.90%66.01%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.42%5.43cote équitable
EV +6.84%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 5.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.73%18.43%18.34%20.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.305.105.105.8023.26%19.60%19.61%17.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.76%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.074%
Avantage +0.016%
Kelly +0.021%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.09%21.81%21.82%22.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.904.224.204.6025.64%23.72%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : IFK Goteborg (Local) : 59.82% ; Örgryte IS (Visiteur) : 18.42% ; Match nul : 21.76%. Pour Örgryte IS (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.43. 8 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 5.80, pour une espérance positive de +6.84%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +6.84%E +1.18%K +1.42%G +0.097%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV +0.074%E +0.016%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 19:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:49
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -9.67%E -6.40%K -18.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +1.31%E +0.239%K +0.292%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -5.36%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 19:44
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -2.37%E -0.447%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -2.37%E -0.447%K -0.552%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -4.21%E -0.810%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:14
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.28%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.30%EV -5.32%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.42%EV -4.49%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -9.07%E -5.97%K -17.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.05%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -6.45%E -1.50%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 19:14
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.88%EV -11.46%E -7.74%K -23.88%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-23 19:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 19:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-23 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.05%EV -13.25%E -9.14%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.36%EV -6.06%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.59%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-23 19:44
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.03%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.69%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -4.28%E -0.972%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.08%E -3.87%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -5.80%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -7.54%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 17:18
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:15
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.27%E -4.69%K -13.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:19
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 16:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.90%E -1.58%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 19:13
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.10%EV -3.68%E -2.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 19:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.49%EV -7.87%E -5.11%K -14.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.70%EV -9.74%E -1.99%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.63%E -2.05%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 19:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.69%EV -8.47%E -5.54%K -15.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -5.80%E -1.34%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.12%EV -12.66%E -8.67%K -27.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.48%EV -12.50%E -2.63%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.33%EV -6.67%E -4.28%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -15.27%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -16.24%E -4.22%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-23 19:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.88%EV -10.86%E -7.29%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.07%EV -15.27%E -3.32%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.04%EV -13.41%E -3.37%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-23 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -17.11%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 16:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -17.11%E -3.80%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -15.15%E -3.89%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-23 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.26%E -6.84%K -20.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -18.95%E -4.31%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -10.80%E -2.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34%EV -11.46%E -7.74%K -23.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08%EV -20.79%E -4.84%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58%EV -12.98%E -3.24%K -4.33%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-23 17:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 58.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%13.3%2026-08-23 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 15:39