L’École des cotes

IFK Goteborg v Mjällby AIF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Goteborg 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 37.83%2.64cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +1.47%
Kelly +2.31%
Croissance +0.093%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.86%37.63%38.00%39.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.472.452.7544.44%40.52%40.82%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.27%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.51%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.46%33.44%33.19%35.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.752.9040.00%36.49%36.36%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.90%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.516%
Kelly -0.730%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.42%28.93%28.81%30.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.143.103.4035.09%31.87%32.26%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.86%EV +4.04%E +1.47%K +2.31%G +0.093%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.64%EV -10.50%E -3.90%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:50
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.35%EV -0.503%E -0.191%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.87%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.64%E -0.630%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 13:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:49
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV -3.51%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.49%EV -2.62%E -0.777%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 16:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 16:50
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 16:49
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:50
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetAnything2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.05%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-25 09:49
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 16:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 16:50
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.93%E -2.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.84%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -1.75%E -0.516%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 13:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 13:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 13:30
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.69%E -3.15%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 16:49
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:40
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 16:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 16:48
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 16:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 16:29
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.12%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.71%EV -15.16%E -5.94%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.65%E -6.19%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 16:10
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.82%EV -9.55%E -3.05%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 16:49
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.82%E -6.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -16.78%E -5.83%K -8.92%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-25 16:09
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-05-25 16:40