La escuela de los momios

IFK Goteborg v Mjällby AIF

Inicio: 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Goteborg 1–1 Mjällby AIF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Predicción 37.83%2.64momio equitativo
EV +4.04%
Ventaja +1.47%
Kelly +2.31%
Crecimiento +0.093%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.86%37.63%38.00%39.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.472.452.7544.44%40.52%40.82%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 33.27%3.01momio equitativo
EV -3.51%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -1.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.46%33.44%33.19%35.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.9040.00%36.49%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.90%3.46momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.516%
Kelly -0.730%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.42%28.93%28.81%30.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.143.103.4035.09%31.87%32.26%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.86%EV +4.04%E +1.47%K +2.31%G +0.093%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.64%EV -10.50%E -3.90%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:49
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 36.12%EV +2.15%E +0.795%K +1.26%G +0.027%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.87%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.01%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-25 16:50
GTbets2.63I 38.02%NM 36.35%EV -0.503%E -0.191%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.78%EV -5.84%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.87%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -1.64%E -0.630%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:50
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 13:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:49
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -3.53%E -1.38%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -11.87%E -3.89%K -5.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Pinnacle2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.11%EV -3.51%E -1.21%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.49%EV -2.62%E -0.777%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.79%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 16:30
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:29
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 16:50
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 16:49
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -5.42%E -2.17%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:50
LowVig.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetAnything2.48I 40.32%NM 38.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.81%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.08%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 16:40
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.11%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.05%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-25 09:49
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 16:50
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 35.78%EV -6.18%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.13%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.08%EV -14.76%E -5.00%K -7.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 16:50
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -6.93%E -2.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.95%EV -5.84%E -2.06%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:49
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:09
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -1.75%E -0.516%K -0.730%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 16:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 13:30
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -12.49%E -4.75%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-25 13:30
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -7.31%E -2.98%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-25 13:30
Bovada2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -7.69%E -3.15%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.17%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 16:49
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -4.18%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 16:40
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 16:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -4.64%E -1.41%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 16:48
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.53%E -2.35%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -9.20%E -3.84%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 16:30
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 16:29
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.12%EV -9.96%E -4.19%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.71%EV -15.16%E -5.94%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.16%EV -17.65%E -6.19%K -9.54%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-25 16:49
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.16%E -3.76%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.09%E -1.87%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 16:10
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -8.98%E -2.85%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-25 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -11.10%E -4.72%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.80%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.82%EV -9.55%E -3.05%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 16:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 38.17%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -12.83%E -4.90%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-25 16:49
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.68%EV -13.49%E -5.19%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.25%EV -10.42%E -3.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.99%E -5.65%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -16.82%E -6.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -16.78%E -5.83%K -8.92%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -14.88%E -6.61%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -11.83%E -4.46%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -13.31%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-25 16:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.62I 38.17%NM 37.98%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.85%0.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.16%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.76%0.8%2026-05-25 16:40
Smarkets2.58I 38.76%NM 38.10%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.99%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.91%1.7%2026-05-25 16:40