L’École des cotes

IFK Goteborg v GAIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IFK Goteborg (Local)

Prévision 38.72%2.58cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.500%
Kelly -0.822%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.56%38.66%38.70%40.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.402.402.5546.51%41.70%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.53%33.70%33.77%35.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.652.8840.00%37.18%37.74%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -4.52%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.07%27.64%27.53%29.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.4634.72%30.45%30.30%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:29
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:30
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:29
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 10:30
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 10:30
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 10:30
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 10:30
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-20 10:29
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 10:30
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 10:29
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 10:29
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -3.98%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 10:29
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -3.98%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 10:29
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 38.86%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.85%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.29%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 19:20
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.69%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Bovada2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:16
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:10
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 19:10
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.07%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.91%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 14:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-20 21:54
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-21 14:30
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 16:00
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:19
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:19
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 21:49
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -15.78%E -6.31%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-20 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:19
LowVig.ag2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 20:20
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 21:55
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 23:29
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 19:10
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 21:50
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-21 14:33
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 14:34
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-20 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-20 16:00
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-20 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -20.52%E -7.13%K -10.92%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-23 18:00
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 39.77%EV -15.99%E -7.37%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.57%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.66%EV -13.90%E -4.46%K -6.56%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 18:05
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.10%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.53%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 17:59
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.95%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%2.74I 36.50%NM 32.84%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%11.1%2026-04-23 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 32.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 38.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 29.13%34.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 32.43%1.94I 51.55%NM 38.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 29.13%34.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 32.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 38.33%2.56I 39.06%NM 29.05%34.5%2026-04-24 03:50