La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IFK Goteborg v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Goteborg (Local)
Predicción 38.72%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.500%
Kelly -0.822%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.56%38.66%38.70%40.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.402.402.5546.51%41.70%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 33.69%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.53%33.70%33.77%35.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.652.8840.00%37.18%37.74%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -4.52%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.07%27.64%27.53%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.4634.72%30.45%30.30%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Unibet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Casumo | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| betPARX | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -1.27%E -0.500%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.77%EV -3.21%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.95%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -3.98%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.81%EV -3.98%E -1.61%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-20 10:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.86%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.85%EV -6.01%E -2.15%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.29%EV -4.52%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.92%E -2.44%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.68%EV -6.69%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -7.83%E -2.34%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Bovada | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 22:16 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.31%E -2.61%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| GTbets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.07%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.02%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.91%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-20 14:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-20 21:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-21 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| 888sport | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 19:19 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -7.08%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -15.78%E -6.31%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-20 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.98%E -1.03%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:19 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.88%EV -4.33%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 20:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.36%E -2.68%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -9.02%E -3.84%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 19:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-21 14:33 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 14:34 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.74%E -4.48%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-20 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.95%E -4.76%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -11.40%E -4.34%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -20.52%E -7.13%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -12.89%E -5.73%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 39.77%EV -15.99%E -7.37%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.57%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 27.66%EV -13.90%E -4.46%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.10%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.53%EV -10.73%E -4.05%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.37%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.85%EV -16.76%E -7.80%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.95%EV -12.41%E -4.77%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.20%EV -13.07%E -4.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 32.84% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 32.43% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 38.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 29.13% | 34.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 32.43% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 38.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 29.13% | 34.1% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 32.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 38.33% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 29.05% | 34.5% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |