La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IFK Goteborg v AIK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IFK Goteborg (Local)
Predicción 47.80%2.09momio equitativo
EV +0.389%
Ventaja +0.185%
Kelly +0.353%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.32%47.62%47.90%49.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.961.952.1054.64%51.12%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
AIK (Visitante)
Predicción 26.01%3.84momio equitativo
EV +4.05%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.055%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.02%26.12%25.91%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.504.0032.26%28.51%28.57%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.18%3.82momio equitativo
EV -0.763%
Ventaja -0.201%
Kelly -0.273%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.74%26.26%26.19%28.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.463.503.7932.79%28.94%28.57%26.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.28%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV +4.05%E +1.01%K +1.35%G +0.055% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%EV +0.389%E +0.185%K +0.353%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.146%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%EV +0.389%E +0.185%K +0.353%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.146%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.61%EV +0.389%E +0.185%K +0.353%G +0.001% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV +0.146%E +0.038%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.97%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.46%E -0.655%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.34%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.87%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.80%EV -2.86%E -0.770%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| BetAnything | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -3.12%E -0.843%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.76%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| Betsson | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.06%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.01%EV -3.44%E -1.70%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -6.36%E -1.77%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -4.43%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.90%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.90%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.90%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.66%E -2.16%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -14.90%E -4.59%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.87%EV -7.92%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -0.763%E -0.201%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -5.35%E -2.70%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.17%E -4.83%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.96%E -2.56%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.53%EV -5.83%E -2.96%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.78%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.26%E -2.97%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.69%E -4.55%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.86%EV -7.74%E -4.01%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -11.56%E -3.40%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -17.52%E -5.56%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| GTbets | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.85%EV -2.96%E -1.46%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.37%EV -7.57%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.47%EV -8.22%E -4.28%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -12.86%E -3.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.32%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -6.78%E -3.48%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.59%E -4.12%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.24%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -10.97%E -3.23%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 45.88%EV -10.61%E -5.67%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.00%EV -14.16%E -4.29%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.13%EV -20.14%E -6.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -2.00%E -0.976%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -15.46%E -4.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -15.46%E -4.76%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.05%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -16.76%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.74%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.16%EV -11.08%E -5.96%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.41%EV -16.76%E -5.24%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -9.67%E -2.80%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -4.39%E -2.20%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -18.06%E -5.73%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -12.52%E -6.84%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -19.36%E -6.25%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -8.36%E -2.39%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-07-05 11:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52% | 0.5% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.15% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 11:55 |