The School of Odds
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IF Elfsborg v Malmo FF

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 0–0 Malmo FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 46.93%2.13fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.40%46.86%46.87%48.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.0654.64%50.57%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Visit)

Prediction 27.82%3.59fair odd
EV -0.128%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.049%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.83%27.87%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.5933.33%30.18%30.30%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.26%3.96fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.923%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%25.32%25.26%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.603.603.8229.41%27.77%27.78%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Elfsborg (Local): 46.93%; Malmo FF (Visit): 27.82%; Draw: 25.26%. For Malmo FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.595. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.590, with an expected value of -0.128%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%EV -3.33%E -1.62%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.09%EV -6.80%E -2.03%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.22%EV -9.33%E -2.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.08%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -1.24%E -0.349%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 12:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.08%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -1.24%E -0.349%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.08%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -1.24%E -0.349%K -0.486%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 14:26
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.42%EV -8.47%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 09:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -3.80%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 15:40
Coolbet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.18%EV -4.27%E -2.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -2.63%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-23 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.68%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.23%EV -2.07%E -0.589%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.09%EV -3.52%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.45%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.91%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -4.54%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.45%EV -5.68%E -2.83%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.91%E -0.834%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.23%EV -4.54%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 15:59
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.57%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.50%EV -0.128%E -0.036%K -0.049%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.92%EV -7.31%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-23 15:06
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.02%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 15:55
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 15:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 15:59
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 12:20
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 12:20
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 12:21
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 15:12
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 14:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:07
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:07
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:07
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 14:07
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -12.37%E -3.93%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 15:40
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.15%E -3.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 15:40
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.02%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -7.09%E -3.58%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-23 14:29
Bovada🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -8.03%E -4.10%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.02%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:57
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.68%EV -8.03%E -4.10%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.59%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-23 15:12
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -8.03%E -4.10%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 12:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.63%E -0.752%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 15:06
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 14:30
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 14:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:26
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:26
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.50%E -4.36%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-23 14:26
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -8.97%E -4.62%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-23 15:10
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.51%EV -8.97%E -4.62%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.81%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 15:06
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -8.20%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -12.87%E -3.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-23 12:21
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -9.43%E -4.89%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.26%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-23 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.45%EV -9.90%E -5.16%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.76%E -4.44%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-23 15:12
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:55
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -9.59%E -2.95%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:21
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.37%E -5.43%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -16.54%E -5.51%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-23 15:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.65%EV -12.25%E -6.55%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -5.41%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -6.56%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -14.13%E -7.72%K -17.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.98%E -3.43%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-23 15:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-10-23 15:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-10-23 15:55
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.58%1.5%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.49%1.9%2026-10-23 15:59