Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prediction 66.82%1.50fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -6.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.03%66.89%66.91%70.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.371.381.4577.52%72.88%72.73%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 13.68%7.31fair odd
EV +16.31%
Edge +1.92%
Kelly +2.17%
Growth +0.355%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.29%13.74%13.58%15.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.706.947.008.5017.54%14.41%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.50%5.13fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +0.629%
Kelly +0.775%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.66%19.37%19.51%20.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.354.784.755.3022.99%20.92%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Elfsborg (Local): 66.82%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 13.68%; Draw: 19.50%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.31. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.29%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.41%EV +16.31%E +1.92%K +2.17%G +0.355%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +3.33%E +0.629%K +0.775%G +0.026%3.1%2026-10-12 16:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +16.31%E +1.92%K +2.17%G +0.355%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV +3.33%E +0.629%K +0.775%G +0.026%4.2%2026-10-12 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.59%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +16.31%E +1.92%K +2.17%G +0.355%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.11%EV +3.33%E +0.629%K +0.775%G +0.026%4.2%2026-10-12 16:49
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:49
Grosvenor🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:54
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:50
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -10.46%E -7.81%K -30.77%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +9.47%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-12 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -11.13%E -8.37%K -33.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +2.63%E +0.350%K +0.404%G +0.011%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-12 16:49
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -11.80%E -8.94%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV +2.63%E +0.350%K +0.404%G +0.011%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-12 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.78%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV +2.63%E +0.350%K +0.404%G +0.011%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-12 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.80%E -10.70%K -47.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV +2.63%E +0.350%K +0.404%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -8.36%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.13%EV -13.80%E -10.70%K -47.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.89%EV +2.63%E +0.350%K +0.404%G +0.011%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -8.36%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 16:49
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.26%EV -8.46%E -6.17%K -22.86%G +0.000%7.28I 13.74%NM 12.85%EV -0.385%E -0.053%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.89%EV -3.49%E -0.705%K -0.884%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 15:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -11.80%E -8.94%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -1.48%E -0.206%K -0.239%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +1.38%E +0.266%K +0.329%G +0.005%8.9%2026-10-12 15:54
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.62%EV -5.78%E -4.10%K -14.11%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.28%EV -1.75%E -0.244%K -0.284%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.11%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:45
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.26%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.45%EV -2.85%E -0.401%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.29%EV -3.49%E -0.705%K -0.884%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-12 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.20%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.44%EV -2.85%E -0.401%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.36%EV -3.88%E -0.787%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.20%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.44%EV -2.85%E -0.401%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.36%EV -3.88%E -0.787%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 16:39
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.20%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.44%EV -2.85%E -0.401%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.93I 20.28%NM 19.36%EV -3.88%E -0.787%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-12 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 16:39
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-12 16:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -2.52%E -0.503%K -0.629%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 16:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 16:45
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.50%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-12 16:44
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-12 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-12 15:48
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-12 15:48
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -11.80%E -8.94%K -36.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.03%EV -4.22%E -0.602%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -0.566%E -0.111%K -0.138%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-12 16:44
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.69%EV -3.11%E -2.15%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.96I 14.37%NM 13.69%EV -4.76%E -0.684%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.62%EV -9.92%E -2.15%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 16:50
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.70%EV -5.58%E -0.809%K -0.947%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.42%E -1.34%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 16:39
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -8.46%E -6.17%K -22.86%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 13.62%EV -6.68%E -0.979%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.61%EV -2.71%E -0.543%K -0.679%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-12 15:54
SportsBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.77%EV -9.79%E -7.25%K -27.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -7.79%E -5.64%K -20.50%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.47%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.88%EV -8.32%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 16:48
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.30%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.48%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -4.45%E -3.11%K -10.34%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -5.12%E -3.60%K -12.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-12 16:39
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:40
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:37
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-12 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.13%E -8.37%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-12 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.13%E -8.37%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -7.39%E -1.56%K -1.97%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-12 16:49
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -11.13%E -8.37%K -33.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -11.06%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-12 15:24
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -14.48%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -15.19%E -3.49%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-12 16:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.90%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.31%E -2.24%K -2.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-12 16:33
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.13%E -6.71%K -25.35%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -17.90%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-12 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.82%EV -7.12%E -5.12%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.51%EV -19.27%E -3.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -4.47%E -0.911%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.26%EV -13.13%E -10.10%K -43.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.60%EV -19.27%E -3.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.14%EV -12.26%E -2.73%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-12 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.32%E -3.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-12 16:45
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.32%E -3.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-12 16:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.32%E -3.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -6.45%E -4.61%K -16.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -21.32%E -3.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -14.21%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-12 16:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -8.46%E -6.17%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -22.00%E -3.86%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.36%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.36%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.48%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.16%0.1%2026-10-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.12%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-10-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-10-12 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.70%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.01%0.9%2026-10-12 16:50
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.43%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.64%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.93%1.4%2026-10-12 16:40