L’École des cotes

IF Elfsborg v Djurgardens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : IF Elfsborg 2–1 Djurgardens IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Prévision 32.47%3.08cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -1.43%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.60%32.50%32.46%33.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.822.802.9538.17%35.42%35.71%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Djurgardens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.23%2.55cote équitable
EV +0.028%
Avantage +0.011%
Kelly +0.018%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.92%39.19%39.26%40.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.362.382.5546.51%42.39%42.02%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.30%3.53cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.683%
Kelly -0.961%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.21%28.31%28.28%30.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.253.293.4535.71%30.79%30.35%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV -2.35%E -0.683%K -0.961%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -1.15%E -0.456%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:19
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.93%E -0.773%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.35%E -0.683%K -0.961%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 16:50
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 32.73%EV -4.86%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.98%EV -3.50%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.29%EV -4.05%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:44
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.47%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 08:05
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.16%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.16%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:34
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 16:21
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:45
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:04
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:04
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:05
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:05
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.39%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.16%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -4.86%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:53
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:19
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:44
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:09
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.99%E -3.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.99%E -3.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:19
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 09:09
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -10.56%E -4.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:09
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -14.93%E -5.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -20.75%E -7.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.20%EV -11.68%E -4.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.81%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -11.41%E -3.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 16:32
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.39%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.92%EV -15.66%E -7.28%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-22 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-04-22 16:54