La escuela de los momios

IF Elfsborg v Djurgardens IF

Inicio: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 2–1 Djurgardens IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Predicción 32.47%3.08momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.60%32.50%32.46%33.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.822.802.9538.17%35.42%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 39.23%2.55momio equitativo
EV +0.028%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.92%39.19%39.26%40.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.362.382.5546.51%42.39%42.02%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.30%3.53momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.683%
Kelly -0.961%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.21%28.31%28.28%30.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.253.293.4535.71%30.79%30.35%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 33.20%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.41%EV +0.028%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.39%EV -2.35%E -0.683%K -0.961%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.15%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.15%EV -1.15%E -0.456%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-22 16:19
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.93%E -0.773%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.17%EV -2.35%E -0.683%K -0.961%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-22 16:50
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13%NM 32.73%EV -4.86%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.98%EV -3.50%E -1.42%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.29%EV -4.05%E -1.20%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.46%E -2.62%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.76%EV -3.89%E -1.59%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -3.77%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-22 16:44
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.47%EV -5.75%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-22 08:05
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.16%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:34
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.16%EV -4.54%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.75%EV -4.29%E -1.76%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 16:34
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.65%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.86%EV -5.07%E -2.10%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.36%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 16:21
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 16:49
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 09:10
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:45
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:54
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:54
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:04
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:04
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:05
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -5.86%E -2.44%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:05
1xBet2.89I 34.60%NM 32.39%EV -6.16%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.16%EV -6.25%E -2.61%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.09%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:55
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -4.86%E -1.66%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.47%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:53
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 08:19
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 08:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.64%E -2.79%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:44
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -4.21%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 09:09
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -6.60%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 09:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -7.82%E -3.33%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.99%E -3.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -5.84%E -2.01%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.12%EV -8.99%E -3.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -6.49%E -2.25%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:54
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.64%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.21%EV -5.18%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 08:19
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:34
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:54
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.78%E -4.25%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 09:09
PMU (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -10.56%E -4.63%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -10.85%E -3.44%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:09
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.08%E -3.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 09:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -10.71%E -3.89%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -14.93%E -5.70%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.60%EV -12.33%E -4.57%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.92%EV -11.74%E -5.22%K -9.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -20.75%E -7.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 32.20%EV -11.68%E -4.29%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.81%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 27.98%EV -11.41%E -3.65%K -5.36%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 16:32
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -13.70%E -6.23%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -9.43%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 08:20
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.39%EV -13.95%E -5.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 39.92%EV -15.66%E -7.28%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -12.26%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-22 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.60%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:54
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.50%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.97%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.53%0.9%2026-04-22 16:55
Smarkets3.00I 33.33%NM 32.63%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.58%2.2%2026-04-22 16:54