A Escola das Odds

Hammarby IF v Malmo FF

Início: 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 4–1 Malmo FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Previsão 59.10%1.69odd justa
EV -1.89%
Vantagem -1.14%
Kelly -2.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.76%59.09%59.00%60.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.561.561.6668.03%64.12%64.10%60.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Previsão 18.64%5.37odd justa
EV +7.17%
Vantagem +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Crescimento +0.108%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.05%18.70%18.73%20.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.334.965.005.7523.09%20.16%20.00%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.26%4.49odd justa
EV -1.38%
Vantagem -0.313%
Kelly -0.404%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.43

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.18%22.21%22.26%24.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.074.034.4328.57%24.56%24.84%22.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.88%EV -0.283%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%EV -1.38%E -0.313%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.62%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.62%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.15%E -0.409%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.15%E -0.409%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:39
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -2.05%E -0.467%K -0.604%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 05:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.39%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 06:05
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:38
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.30%E -3.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.30%E -3.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -6.99%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.71%EV -5.61%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.92%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.04%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -5.39%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -15.41%E -4.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -16.52%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -16.52%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.70%EV -9.60%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.40%EV -9.84%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 05:44
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:26
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:26
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.73%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 08:19
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.73%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 05:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -11.94%E -8.01%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 05:45
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.29%EV -13.12%E -8.93%K -27.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -18.75%E -5.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.13%E -3.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.09%E -6.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-17 07:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 05:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.29%E -4.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 10:38
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40