L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-17 12:00 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 4–1 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 59.10%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.76%59.09%59.00%60.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.561.561.6668.03%64.12%64.10%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.64%5.37cote équitable
EV +7.17%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.51%
Croissance +0.108%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.05%18.70%18.73%20.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.965.005.7523.09%20.16%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.26%4.49cote équitable
EV -1.38%
Avantage -0.313%
Kelly -0.404%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.18%22.21%22.26%24.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.074.034.4328.57%24.56%24.84%22.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -3.67%E -2.25%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 17.05%EV +7.17%E +1.25%K +1.51%G +0.108%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 60.53%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.88%EV -0.283%E -0.053%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.59%EV -1.38%E -0.313%K -0.404%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.44%EV -4.26%E -2.63%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.39%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.62%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -1.22%E -0.229%K -0.283%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -7.62%E -1.84%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -2.15%E -0.409%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -2.15%E -0.409%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 10:40
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.37%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 07:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:39
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 10:40
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -2.05%E -0.467%K -0.604%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 10:40
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.08%E -0.592%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.80%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.98%EV -4.94%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-17 10:40
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.28%E -0.995%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 05:45
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.39%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 10:40
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 06:05
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 10:38
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.30%E -3.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 58.55%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -6.81%E -1.36%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.42%EV -14.30%E -3.71%K -5.02%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-17 10:40
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 58.00%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 19.29%EV -6.99%E -1.40%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.71%EV -5.61%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-17 10:40
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.92%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.22%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.04%EV -8.30%E -1.69%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -5.39%E -1.27%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 58.15%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -15.41%E -4.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -16.52%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 58.29%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -8.67%E -1.77%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -16.52%E -4.41%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-17 10:40
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.70%EV -9.60%E -1.98%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.40%EV -9.84%E -2.43%K -3.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 05:44
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.85%E -3.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 10:40
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:26
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:26
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 07:25
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.79%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -10.53%E -2.19%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.73%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-17 10:39
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 08:19
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.73%E -2.13%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 10:40
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -11.47%E -2.41%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -8.99%E -5.83%K -16.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -6.50%E -1.55%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-17 05:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.23%EV -8.39%E -5.42%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -11.94%E -8.01%K -24.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -12.07%E -3.06%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-17 05:45
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 58.29%EV -13.12%E -8.93%K -27.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.23%EV -12.40%E -2.64%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.48%EV -18.75%E -5.14%K -7.07%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.76%EV -11.35%E -7.57%K -22.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.92%EV -16.13%E -3.58%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.32%EV -22.09%E -6.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-17 07:30
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.18%E -3.38%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-17 10:40
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.96%EV -10.17%E -6.69%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -17.99%E -4.09%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.02%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 05:45
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -9.58%E -6.26%K -18.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -19.29%E -4.46%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -10.96%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 10:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.97%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.03%1.2%2026-05-17 10:40
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.95%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-05-17 10:40