L’École des cotes

Hammarby IF v Halmstads BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : Hammarby IF 1–1 Halmstads BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prévision 77.37%1.29cote équitable
EV -4.83%
Avantage -3.93%
Kelly -21.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.61%77.34%77.31%81.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.181.201.2391.74%84.46%83.33%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Halmstads BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.75%12.90cote équitable
EV +31.81%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.632%

avec la cote maximale 17.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
5.74%7.77%7.80%9.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0012.6012.0017.0011.11%7.94%8.33%5.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.88%6.72cote équitable
EV +11.57%
Avantage +1.54%
Kelly +1.78%
Croissance +0.206%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.69%14.89%14.89%17.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.316.257.5020.00%15.85%16.00%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +31.81%E +1.87%K +1.99%G +0.632%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%2.5%2026-04-22 16:45
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +31.81%E +1.87%K +1.99%G +0.632%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%2.5%2026-04-22 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.36%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +24.05%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.386%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.36%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +24.05%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.386%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -11.80%E -10.35%K -84.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%8.7%2026-04-22 16:44
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -12.57%E -11.12%K -96.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%9.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -12.57%E -11.12%K -96.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%9.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.49%EV -4.83%E -3.93%K -21.01%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.66%EV +12.42%E +0.857%K +0.920%G +0.114%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:39
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:39
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.29%EV -15.67%E -14.37%K -174.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.25%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%13.11I 7.63%NM 7.28%EV +1.65%E +0.126%K +0.136%G +0.002%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.54%EV -2.42%E -0.368%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 76.97%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -13.72%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:49
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.19%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:45
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:40
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 77.25%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:48
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:49
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -10.25%E -8.84%K -64.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 16:44
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.31%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -10.84%E -0.942%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:34
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 76.98%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.22I 8.91%NM 8.30%EV -13.01%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.72%EV -5.84%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:49
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:54
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:49
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:39
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -25.62%E -5.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -18.59%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -7.77%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.73%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.41%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.58%EV -10.25%E -8.84%K -64.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.77%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -16.70%E -2.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.74%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.05%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.22%EV -21.16%E -3.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.28%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -30.22%E -3.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.93%EV -12.23%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%2.5%2026-04-22 16:45