La escuela de los momios

Hammarby IF v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 1–1 Halmstads BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hammarby IF (Local)

Predicción 77.37%1.29momio equitativo
EV -4.83%
Ventaja -3.93%
Kelly -21.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.61%77.34%77.31%81.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.181.201.2391.74%84.46%83.33%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 7.75%12.90momio equitativo
EV +31.81%
Ventaja +1.87%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.632%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 17.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
5.74%7.77%7.80%9.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
9.0012.6012.0017.0011.11%7.94%8.33%5.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.88%6.72momio equitativo
EV +11.57%
Ventaja +1.54%
Kelly +1.78%
Crecimiento +0.206%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.69%14.89%14.89%17.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.316.257.5020.00%15.85%16.00%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +31.81%E +1.87%K +1.99%G +0.632%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%2.5%2026-04-22 16:45
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.26%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.74%EV +31.81%E +1.87%K +1.99%G +0.632%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.00%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%2.5%2026-04-22 16:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.36%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +24.05%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.386%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.36%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.95%EV +24.05%E +1.50%K +1.60%G +0.386%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +11.57%E +1.54%K +1.78%G +0.206%5.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Grosvenor1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Casumo1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:45
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet (NL)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Unibet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:45
betPARX1.15I 86.96%NM 80.58%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%7.9%2026-04-22 16:44
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -11.80%E -10.35%K -84.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%8.7%2026-04-22 16:44
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -12.57%E -11.12%K -96.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%9.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 80.86%EV -12.57%E -11.12%K -96.70%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.09%EV +16.30%E +1.09%K +1.16%G +0.190%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV +4.13%E +0.590%K +0.688%G +0.028%9.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Coolbet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.49%EV -4.83%E -3.93%K -21.01%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.66%EV +12.42%E +0.857%K +0.920%G +0.114%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.85%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:15
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:39
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.11%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:39
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 80.29%EV -15.67%E -14.37%K -174.06%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.25%EV +8.55%E +0.610%K +0.657%G +0.056%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.46%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 16:44
Pinnacle1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%13.11I 7.63%NM 7.28%EV +1.65%E +0.126%K +0.136%G +0.002%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.54%EV -2.42%E -0.368%K -0.435%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:54
William Hill1.20I 83.33%NM 76.97%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.92%EV -13.72%E -2.37%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:49
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.86%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.10%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 16:49
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 76.31%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.04%EV +0.793%E +0.061%K +0.066%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -18.19%E -3.31%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 16:54
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.70%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:45
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:40
BetAnything1.20I 83.33%NM 78.01%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.80%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.82%E -0.276%K -0.325%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 77.25%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 16:48
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 77.84%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.78%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 77.40%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:44
betfred_uk1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Unibet (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:45
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 78.13%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 76.41%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.64%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Bet Victor1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:54
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.37%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.54%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.09%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:49
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -10.25%E -8.84%K -64.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -6.96%E -0.580%K -0.633%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-22 16:44
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.31%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -10.84%E -0.942%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:34
GTbets1.21I 82.64%NM 76.98%EV -6.38%E -5.27%K -30.38%G +0.000%11.22I 8.91%NM 8.30%EV -13.01%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.33I 15.80%NM 14.72%EV -5.84%E -0.922%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:49
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -3.31%E -0.509%K -0.602%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 16:54
1xBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.56%EV -5.61%E -4.60%K -25.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:49
BetUS1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:39
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -8.70%E -7.37%K -48.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -10.75%E -1.79%K -2.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.61%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.94%EV -14.71%E -1.34%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -25.62%E -5.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-22 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -18.59%E -1.77%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -7.77%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:39
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.37%EV -7.93%E -6.66%K -41.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -7.03%E -1.12%K -1.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:44
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.73%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.41%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.58%EV -10.25%E -8.84%K -64.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.77%EV -22.47%E -2.25%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.66%EV -16.70%E -2.98%K -3.63%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -7.15%E -5.96%K -35.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -14.47%E -2.52%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 74.74%EV -11.02%E -9.59%K -73.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.05%EV -26.34%E -2.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.22%EV -21.16%E -3.99%K -4.92%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-22 16:44
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.28%EV -9.48%E -8.10%K -55.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.79%EV -30.22%E -3.36%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.93%EV -12.23%E -2.07%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 80.02%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%0.8%2026-04-22 16:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.33%14.49I 6.90%NM 6.73%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%2.5%2026-04-22 16:45