Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Djurgardens IF

2026-10-11 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 52.82%1.89fair odd
EV -7.05%
Edge -4.00%
Kelly -9.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.80%53.00%52.82%54.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.711.731.7661.35%58.42%57.80%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 24.10%4.15fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.291%
Kelly +0.382%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%24.12%24.10%24.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.753.754.2028.99%26.69%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.08%4.33fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.335%
Kelly -0.437%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.06%22.89%23.08%23.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.883.904.2728.17%25.80%25.64%23.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hammarby IF (Local): 52.82%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 24.10%; Draw: 23.08%. For Djurgardens IF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV +1.22%E +0.291%K +0.382%G +0.005%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 09:58
Pinnacle🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.45%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.49%EV -3.36%E -0.837%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.06%EV -1.43%E -0.335%K -0.437%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-22 10:09
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.16%EV -7.05%E -4.00%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.74%EV -5.04%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10%EV -6.51%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-22 11:29
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -8.10%E -4.66%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -6.01%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-22 10:34
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.42%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 12:19
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.63%E -4.99%K -11.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.42%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.66%E -1.92%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 10:34
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.21%E -6.01%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -8.42%E -2.22%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-22 10:34
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 09:09
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -7.57%E -4.33%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.62%E -2.57%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -9.97%E -2.56%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-22 09:09
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.21%EV -11.27%E -6.71%K -16.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -14.44%E -4.07%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-22 12:18
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -11.80%E -7.07%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -15.65%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.28%E -3.23%K -4.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-22 07:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 51.80%EV -13.38%E -8.16%K -20.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -15.65%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.93%EV -18.05%E -5.08%K -7.08%G +0.000%17.7%2026-09-22 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 51.95%EV -13.91%E -8.53%K -22.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.19%EV -15.65%E -4.47%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.85%EV -18.05%E -5.08%K -7.08%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-22 12:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 51.82%EV -12.33%E -7.43%K -18.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.93%EV -16.85%E -4.88%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.25%EV -14.59%E -3.94%K -5.40%G +0.000%16.3%2026-09-22 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.