Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:00 UTC

Final: Hammarby IF 0–1 Djurgardens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hammarby IF (Local)

Prediction 53.31%1.88fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -4.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.82%53.33%53.30%55.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.731.731.8163.29%57.72%57.80%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 23.11%4.33fair odd
EV +1.69%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.498%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%23.10%23.06%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.004.004.4028.57%25.02%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.048%
Kelly +0.062%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.83%23.57%23.64%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.894.2527.78%25.68%25.71%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hammarby IF (Local): 53.31%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 23.11%; Draw: 23.58%. For Djurgardens IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.84%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%EV +1.69%E +0.385%K +0.498%G +0.008%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.97%EV +0.202%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-11 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.84%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%EV +1.69%E +0.385%K +0.498%G +0.008%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.97%EV +0.202%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-11 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.84%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%EV +1.69%E +0.385%K +0.498%G +0.008%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.97%EV +0.202%E +0.048%K +0.062%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-11 11:49
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.39%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -0.619%E -0.144%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 11:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.67%EV -12.04%E -7.29%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -0.619%E -0.144%K -0.188%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-11 11:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.34%EV -5.11%E -2.87%K -6.55%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.18%EV -1.08%E -0.253%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.47%EV -8.52%E -2.20%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 11:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 11:33
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 11:49
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 11:50
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 11:50
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.41%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -2.93%E -0.698%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 11:34
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.55%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -4.09%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.74%EV -6.40%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-05 00:15
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.13%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.40%EV -4.09%E -0.985%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 11:44
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 11:49
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.64%E -3.19%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.50%EV -9.90%E -5.86%K -14.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 11:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.47%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.52%EV -5.93%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.01%EV -1.92%E -0.461%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-11 11:50
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.55%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.31%EV -7.09%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-11 07:35
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 11:50
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.50%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-11 11:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 11:04
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:50
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:49
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:04
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:03
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -7.77%E -4.49%K -10.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-11 11:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.77%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-11 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.18%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-11 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-11 11:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.07%EV -15.77%E -9.98%K -27.19%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.03%EV -8.71%E -2.20%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-11 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.47%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -9.17%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.81%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-11 11:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.48%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 11:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.48%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 11:49
BetAnything🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.48%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.36%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.33%E -0.813%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-11 11:50
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.04%E -2.24%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.32%EV -4.51%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 10:29
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 11:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.87%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.30%E -4.83%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-11 11:04
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 11:34
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -15.12%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 11:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.67%EV -12.04%E -7.29%K -18.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.62%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.94%EV -9.37%E -5.51%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -11.02%E -2.86%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-11 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.54%EV -3.51%E -1.94%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -8.05%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 11:49
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.71%E -3.83%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.69%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-11 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -10.44%E -6.21%K -15.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-11 11:29
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -12.18%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-11 11:33
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.82%EV -4.57%E -2.55%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -15.64%E -4.29%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 11:49
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.90%EV -6.17%E -3.51%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -16.80%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -12.76%E -3.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.84%EV -7.24%E -4.16%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.92%EV -17.95%E -5.06%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.24%EV -13.94%E -3.82%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-11 11:49
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -10.97%E -6.57%K -16.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -19.11%E -5.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-11 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-10-11 11:49
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.2%2026-10-11 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-10-11 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95%1.3%2026-10-11 11:50
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.26%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%1.7%2026-10-11 11:50