The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Halmstads BK v Malmo FF

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–3 Malmo FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Halmstads BK (Local)

Prediction 20.89%4.79fair odd
EV +10.72%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.49%
Growth +0.267%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.21%20.82%20.92%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.534.485.3025.32%22.08%22.32%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Visit)

Prediction 56.44%1.77fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.59%56.53%56.37%59.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.621.621.7066.23%61.84%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -0.731%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.72%22.65%22.71%23.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.064.004.3826.67%24.64%25.00%22.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Halmstads BK (Local): 20.89%; Malmo FF (Visit): 56.44%; Draw: 22.66%. For Halmstads BK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +10.72%E +2.02%K +2.49%G +0.267%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV -1.41%E -0.324%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +10.72%E +2.02%K +2.49%G +0.267%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV -1.41%E -0.324%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +10.72%E +2.02%K +2.49%G +0.267%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.59%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.19%EV -1.41%E -0.324%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-28 17:20
Unibet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +4.46%E +0.891%K +1.11%G +0.050%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +4.46%E +0.891%K +1.11%G +0.050%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +4.46%E +0.891%K +1.11%G +0.050%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:20
Casumo🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +4.46%E +0.891%K +1.11%G +0.050%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:20
betPARX🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV +4.46%E +0.891%K +1.11%G +0.050%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV +0.278%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-28 17:20
Grosvenor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.90%EV +0.278%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.14%EV -11.95%E -7.66%K -21.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-28 17:20
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +0.278%E +0.058%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.30%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 17:20
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -0.766%E -0.161%K -0.204%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.17%EV -13.08%E -8.49%K -24.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -1.81%E -0.385%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -12.51%E -8.07%K -22.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 17:25
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -1.81%E -0.385%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.20%EV -14.20%E -9.35%K -27.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-28 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.75%EV -1.81%E -0.385%K -0.489%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.36%EV -14.77%E -9.78%K -28.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -12.74%E -3.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-28 17:20
Betsson🎯4.69I 21.32%NM 20.29%EV -2.02%E -0.431%K -0.547%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.99%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.72%EV -5.04%E -1.20%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.65%EV -2.86%E -0.614%K -0.782%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.49%EV -4.04%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-28 05:29
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 17:35
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -3.90%E -0.848%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 17:30
NordicBet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.33%EV -4.94%E -1.09%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.56%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-28 17:15
Pinnacle🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 21.14%EV -5.36%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.00%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.86%EV -0.731%E -0.167%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-28 17:30
GTbets🎯4.53I 22.08%NM 20.76%EV -5.36%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.31%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 19:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.04%E -2.38%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 07:25
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.53%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 17:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 09:25
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.44%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.13%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -7.08%E -1.73%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 17:30
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 17:15
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -5.99%E -1.33%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-28 17:14
1xBet🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 20.96%EV -6.82%E -1.53%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.08%EV -8.21%E -2.03%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-28 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -2.54%E -0.592%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 17:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -2.54%E -0.592%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 17:35
BetAnything🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%EV -5.17%E -3.08%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -2.54%E -0.592%K -0.771%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-28 17:35
Bovada🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.71%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -2.54%E -0.592%K -0.771%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 17:23
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.81%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 13:30
BetUS🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.57%EV -6.30%E -3.80%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -3.68%E -0.865%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-28 15:40
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.93%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.22%EV -10.48%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 13:50
PlayUp🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.62%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.70%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:15
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -8.08%E -1.84%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-28 17:50
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.45%EV -5.74%E -3.44%K -8.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.77%EV -1.86%E -0.430%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 17:20
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 17:15
William Hill🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 17:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 17:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.75%EV -6.87%E -4.16%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-28 17:15
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.54%E -2.20%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 09:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -10.17%E -2.36%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-28 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -11.21%E -2.64%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.41%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.60%EV -14.33%E -3.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-28 17:34
Winamax (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -7.43%E -4.53%K -11.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-28 13:29
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-28 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -8.56%E -5.28%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-28 17:14
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.12%E -5.67%K -14.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-28 17:15
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.61%E -2.98%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-28 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.55%EV -12.26%E -2.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.42%EV -13.64%E -8.92%K -25.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%15.8%2026-10-28 17:34
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -16.43%E -4.11%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.38%E -7.25%K -19.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -9.34%E -2.34%K -3.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-28 17:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -17.48%E -4.43%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 54.59%EV -9.69%E -6.06%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.29%EV -15.01%E -4.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-28 15:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%0.7%2026-10-28 17:35
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-10-28 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-10-28 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-10-28 17:55
Matchbook◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-10-28 17:55