A Escola das Odds

GAIS v Örgryte IS

Início: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: GAIS 4–0 Örgryte IS

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

GAIS (Local)

Previsão 62.83%1.59odd justa
EV -3.88%
Vantagem -2.53%
Kelly -7.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.54%62.68%62.90%64.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.361.461.461.5373.53%68.39%68.49%65.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Örgryte IS (Visitante)

Previsão 16.24%6.16odd justa
EV +5.56%
Vantagem +0.855%
Kelly +1.01%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.95%16.42%16.16%18.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.805.775.806.5020.83%17.33%17.24%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.93%4.78odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -0.343%
Kelly -0.435%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.07%20.91%20.94%22.93%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.354.404.7026.67%22.96%22.73%21.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.06%EV -3.88%E -2.53%K -7.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.08%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.86%EV -1.61%E -0.343%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.37%EV -5.13%E -3.40%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%EV -1.61%E -0.343%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 13:55
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 64.37%EV -5.13%E -3.40%K -10.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV +5.56%E +0.855%K +1.01%G +0.056%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.68%EV -1.61%E -0.343%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV +1.50%E +0.240%K +0.285%G +0.004%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -3.70%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:56
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 64.26%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.17%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 13:55
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -10.16%E -7.10%K -23.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:55
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -10.16%E -7.10%K -23.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:54
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 64.13%EV -10.16%E -7.10%K -23.62%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -0.939%E -0.154%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 22:30
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 64.55%EV -10.16%E -7.10%K -23.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -3.70%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 14:15
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:20
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 08:19
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.94%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 63.98%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.14%EV -2.56%E -0.427%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.88%EV -8.94%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 13:55
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -4.50%E -2.96%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV -3.21%E -0.539%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.99%EV -4.54%E -0.996%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-03 14:20
GTbets1.50I 66.67%NM 62.62%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.79%EV -3.37%E -0.567%K -0.682%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -8.94%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 07:30
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.82%EV -3.88%E -2.53%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV -4.19%E -0.710%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV -3.70%E -0.805%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-03 07:45
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.19%E -0.710%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.19%E -0.710%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:20
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.19%E -0.710%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:25
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 63.15%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -4.19%E -0.710%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 14:21
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.94%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:55
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.94%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:56
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.60%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 14:20
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.17%EV -14.56%E -10.70%K -40.43%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -5.81%E -1.00%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.78%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-03 13:55
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.58%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.09%EV -6.84%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 14:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:25
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.89%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 14:21
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.44%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.96%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.03%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 08:20
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:20
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -6.62%E -1.15%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.72%EV -6.39%E -4.29%K -13.04%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.37%EV -7.27%E -1.27%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.91%EV -6.42%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.76%E -3.84%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 13:45
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -14.17%E -3.46%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -8.90%E -6.14%K -19.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 08:20
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 07:15
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -12.04%E -8.60%K -30.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -9.36%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -12.04%E -8.60%K -30.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -10.68%E -1.94%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -21.50%E -5.73%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:26
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:26
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.02%E -4.74%K -14.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -14.74%E -2.81%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -16.26%E -4.07%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.92%EV -7.65%E -5.20%K -16.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.85%EV -17.18%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -5.80%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:45
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.71%EV -10.79%E -7.60%K -25.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.18%EV -17.18%E -3.37%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.11%EV -13.12%E -3.16%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 14:05
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -18.80%E -3.76%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.08%E -2.88%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 08:20
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV -20.43%E -4.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.75%EV -11.03%E -2.60%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 14:01
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.17%EV -9.53%E -6.62%K -21.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -22.05%E -4.59%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -9.98%E -2.32%K -3.03%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-03 13:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-03 14:21
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 65.05%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.64%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.31%0.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-05-03 14:26
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.64%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.47%1.8%2026-05-03 14:15