Language:English
GAIS v IK Sirius
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
GAIS (Local)
Prediction 37.41%2.67fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.07%37.52%37.30%39.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.422.402.5945.45%41.38%41.67%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Sirius (Visit)
Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +0.988%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.043%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.41%35.37%35.57%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.622.9041.67%37.94%38.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -0.907%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.11%27.13%28.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.393.373.6031.25%29.46%29.67%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 37.41%; IK Sirius (Visit): 35.47%; Draw: 27.12%. For IK Sirius (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +2.86%E +0.988%K +1.51%G +0.043% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +2.86%E +0.988%K +1.51%G +0.043% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.60%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.45%EV +2.86%E +0.988%K +1.51%G +0.043% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.95%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:38 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -0.683%E -0.244%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.72%EV -3.12%E -1.20%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -2.81%E -1.03%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.56%EV -9.68%E -2.91%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 06:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.19%EV -13.22%E -5.70%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.67%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -13.96%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -4.23%E -1.57%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.80%EV -3.86%E -1.50%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.29%EV -4.94%E -1.84%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.90%EV -8.05%E -2.38%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-28 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.82%EV -5.73%E -2.28%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.62%EV -4.94%E -1.84%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-02 06:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.34%EV -7.98%E -3.24%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.32%EV -5.29%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.34%EV -2.90%E -0.810%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.72%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.21%EV -5.29%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-28 21:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.72%EV -4.24%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.21%EV -5.29%E -1.98%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.06%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-29 22:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.72%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -15.83%E -7.04%K -12.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.41%EV -6.00%E -2.27%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.24%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.97%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.71%EV -6.36%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -6.43%E -1.86%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 20:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.71%E -2.55%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -7.07%E -2.70%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-22 10:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.48%E -2.59%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-24 23:38 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -2.36%E -0.655%K -0.907%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-30 13:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-03 13:06 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.78%E -2.99%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.81%EV -7.98%E -3.24%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.91%EV -8.13%E -3.14%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.28%EV -3.99%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-28 21:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -4.61%E -1.81%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.55%E -3.75%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -9.55%E -3.75%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -5.07%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-24 23:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -14.71%E -6.45%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -10.61%E -4.21%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.80%EV -11.31%E -3.46%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 13:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.09%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.78%E -2.29%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.22%E -4.26%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.50%E -3.18%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.11%EV -17.70%E -8.05%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.42%EV -11.32%E -4.53%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.47%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -13.96%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.10%E -5.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -9.14%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-04 16:41 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -13.96%E -6.07%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.10%E -5.35%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-09-25 00:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.20%EV -8.35%E -3.41%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.50%EV -13.81%E -5.68%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.85%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-29 15:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -10.97%E -4.61%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.87%E -6.20%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.21%E -4.13%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.49% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.49% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.49% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.07% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45% | 5.0% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.43% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:50 |