Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.42
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GAIS (Local): 41.20%; BK Hacken (Visit): 32.85%; Draw: 25.95%. For GAIS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -0.286%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -0.286%E -0.118%K -0.202%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.62%EV -6.06%E -2.12%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.64%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 00:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%EV -3.10%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%EV -3.10%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.41%EV -3.17%E -1.35%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.99%EV -3.10%E -1.05%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%EV -1.39%E -0.366%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.51%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.26%EV -2.77%E -0.937%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.23%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -2.12%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -2.12%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -2.12%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.17%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.78%EV -2.12%E -0.711%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 14:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.76%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 01:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 13:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.68%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.03%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.99%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.23%E -2.27%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-04 09:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 06:58 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -6.05%E -2.66%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.40%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-03 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.28%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.75%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.40%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-01 10:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.27%EV -6.47%E -2.85%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.42%EV -5.07%E -1.76%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -7.62%E -2.14%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.44%EV -6.88%E -3.04%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.98%EV -1.46%E -0.487%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%EV -2.69%E -0.717%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 19:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 00:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 00:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-04 06:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-04 13:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.29%E -3.24%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -14.37%E -4.35%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-01 06:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-03 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.36%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.03%E -2.87%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.15%EV -9.70%E -2.79%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.88%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-03 01:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.77%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.00%EV -10.47%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.61%E -5.18%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.61%E -5.18%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-01 05:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -13.61%E -5.18%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-02 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.94%E -5.32%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.35%E -4.25%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -13.94%E -5.32%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-01 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -10.18%E -4.67%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -10.47%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.06%EV -11.00%E -5.09%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.06%EV -11.00%E -5.09%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.06%EV -11.00%E -5.09%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.08%EV -11.41%E -5.31%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.33%EV -12.96%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -10.47%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-03 01:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.47%E -6.42%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -9.67%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-03 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -13.47%E -6.42%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -14.60%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -9.18%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-31 21:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-04 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.17% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.67% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.13% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 1.3% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |