Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Djurgardens IF v Västerås SK

Начало: 2026-08-03 17:01 UTC

Итог: Djurgardens IF 6–0 Västerås SK

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Djurgardens IF (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.16%1.64справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.98%
Преимущество -2.54%
Kelly -6.99%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.41%61.32%61.06%63.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.501.511.5771.43%66.50%66.23%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Västerås SK (Гости)

Прогноз 18.12%5.52справедливый коэффициент
EV +8.73%
Преимущество +1.46%
Kelly +1.75%
Рост +0.153%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.03%18.01%18.20%20.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.405.155.106.0022.73%19.42%19.61%16.67%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.72%4.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.131%
Преимущество -0.027%
Kelly -0.034%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
19.39%20.67%20.74%21.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.004.444.404.8225.00%22.54%22.73%20.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Djurgardens IF (Хозяева): 61.16%; Västerås SK (Гости): 18.12%; Ничья: 20.72%. Для исхода «Västerås SK (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.52. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.00, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +8.73%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +1.48%E +0.265%K +0.323%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.72%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -13.16%E -9.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -14.38%E -10.27%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-03 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.53%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.62%EV -1.60%E -0.294%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.85%EV -0.131%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:24
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:49
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.66%EV -2.50%E -0.465%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.44%EV -8.21%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:54
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.95%E -0.746%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.95%E -0.746%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:24
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.70%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 16:20
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.67%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 16:50
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-03 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 16:23
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-03 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -14.38%E -10.27%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.91%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -12.11%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.62%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.62%EV -12.11%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-03 16:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -13.92%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:54
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.65%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75%0.4%2026-08-03 16:55
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.65%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75%0.4%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-03 16:55