Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 17:01 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 6–0 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 61.16%1.64cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.54%
Kelly -6.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.41%61.32%61.06%63.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.501.511.5771.43%66.50%66.23%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.12%5.52cote équitable
EV +8.73%
Avantage +1.46%
Kelly +1.75%
Croissance +0.153%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.03%18.01%18.20%20.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.405.155.106.0022.73%19.42%19.61%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.72%4.83cote équitable
EV -0.131%
Avantage -0.027%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.39%20.67%20.74%21.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.404.8225.00%22.54%22.73%20.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Djurgardens IF (Local) : 61.16% ; Västerås SK (Visiteur) : 18.12% ; Match nul : 20.72%. Pour Västerås SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.52. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.00, soit une espérance positive de +8.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.26%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.24%EV +8.73%E +1.46%K +1.75%G +0.153%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.51%EV -1.58%E -0.333%K -0.422%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-03 16:24
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +1.48%E +0.265%K +0.323%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:49
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.76%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.52%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.72%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:24
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.82%EV -13.16%E -9.26%K -31.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:34
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -14.38%E -10.27%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -0.328%E -0.060%K -0.073%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-03 16:40
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.53%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.62%EV -1.60%E -0.294%K -0.360%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.85%EV -0.131%E -0.027%K -0.034%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
betPARX🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:24
Casumo🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-03 16:20
SportsBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.09%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.02%EV -2.14%E -0.396%K -0.486%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.89%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-03 16:49
1xBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.66%EV -2.50%E -0.465%K -0.571%G +0.000%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.44%EV -8.21%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 16:54
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.95%E -0.746%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:44
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.12%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -3.95%E -0.746%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.36%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.45%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -4.86%E -0.925%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -8.83%E -2.01%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:24
GTbets🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.43%EV -9.49%E -6.41%K -19.76%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.70%EV -5.40%E -1.03%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.87%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 16:50
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.74%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 16:55
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 16:20
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -5.76%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -11.94%E -2.81%K -3.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-03 16:20
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.27%EV -6.67%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.23%EV -3.65%E -0.786%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 16:50
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.91%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.75%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.73%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -3.03%E -0.648%K -0.824%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-03 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.53%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.37%EV -7.58%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.10%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-03 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.56%EV -4.59%E -2.94%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 16:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 16:23
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-03 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -11.93%E -8.29%K -27.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-03 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.35%EV -14.38%E -10.27%K -35.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.18%EV -9.39%E -1.88%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.47%EV -17.12%E -4.28%K -5.71%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-03 16:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.01%EV -10.10%E -6.87%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.39%EV -2.62%E -0.557%K -0.707%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.42%EV -8.26%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -11.20%E -2.29%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -10.91%E -2.54%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-03 16:55
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.69%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -12.11%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.62%EV -8.87%E -5.96%K -18.11%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.62%EV -12.11%E -2.50%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.76%EV -9.87%E -2.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-03 16:49
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -10.28%E -2.37%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-03 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.83%EV -11.32%E -7.81%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -13.01%E -2.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -4.69%E -1.02%K -1.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 16:50
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -3.98%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -13.92%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.76%E -1.50%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:55
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.41%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -20.26%E -4.61%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.98%E -3.09%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 16:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.65%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75%0.4%2026-08-03 16:55
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.65%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.75%0.4%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.79%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.54%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%0.8%2026-08-03 16:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.77%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-08-03 16:55