Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF v Mjällby AIF

2026-08-31 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (10 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 59.27%1.69cote équitable
EV -3.98%
Avantage -2.46%
Kelly -6.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.68%59.38%59.18%62.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.521.501.6269.44%65.80%66.45%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.13%5.23cote équitable
EV +16.70%
Avantage +2.74%
Kelly +3.27%
Croissance +0.547%

avec la cote maximale 6.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.97%19.07%19.23%21.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.255.085.056.1023.53%19.67%19.80%16.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV -0.653%
Avantage -0.142%
Kelly -0.182%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.39%21.56%21.59%22.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.804.234.204.6026.32%23.66%23.81%21.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Djurgardens IF (Local) : 59.27% ; Mjällby AIF (Visiteur) : 19.13% ; Match nul : 21.60%. Pour Mjällby AIF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 5.23. 18 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 6.10, pour une espérance positive de +16.70%.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +16.70%E +2.74%K +3.27%G +0.547%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -0.653%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-24 17:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +16.70%E +2.74%K +3.27%G +0.547%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -0.653%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-24 17:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.85%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.97%EV +16.70%E +2.74%K +3.27%G +0.547%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV -0.653%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-24 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.01%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.61%EV +7.13%E +1.27%K +1.55%G +0.111%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:09
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.62%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV +3.30%E +0.612%K +0.751%G +0.025%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-24 17:14
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +1.39%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:34
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -8.13%E -5.24%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV +1.39%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 19:40
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.28%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV +1.39%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-24 17:14
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -12.87%E -8.75%K -27.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV +1.39%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 17:09
TABtouch🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.45%EV -14.05%E -9.69%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.81%EV +1.39%E +0.263%K +0.324%G +0.005%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.73%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-24 17:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.36%EV -14.05%E -9.69%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV +0.435%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.36%EV -14.05%E -9.69%K -31.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV +0.435%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-24 17:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.52%EV -14.65%E -10.17%K -33.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV +0.435%E +0.083%K +0.102%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-24 17:09
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -3.98%E -2.46%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.43%E -0.477%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.35%E -0.869%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-24 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.09%K -17.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -4.35%E -0.869%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-24 17:14
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.18%EV -9.91%E -6.52%K -19.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -4.35%E -0.869%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.52%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-24 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -4.35%E -0.869%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-24 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -4.35%E -0.869%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-24 17:14
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.35%E -4.02%K -10.95%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.05%EV -5.88%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.64%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 17:24
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -8.17%E -1.70%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 17:20
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.64%EV -8.36%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -0.653%E -0.142%K -0.182%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 18:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.00%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.00%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 17:20
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.00%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -12.00%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-24 17:20
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.44%EV -14.65%E -10.17%K -33.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.61%EV -12.00%E -2.61%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.95%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-24 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.24%EV -12.87%E -8.75%K -27.38%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.24%EV -14.87%E -3.34%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.53%EV -17.93%E -4.72%K -6.40%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-24 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -15.83%E -3.60%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-24 17:20
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.94%E -4.42%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -2.81%E -0.625%K -0.804%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-24 17:49
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -11.09%E -7.39%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -17.16%E -3.96%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-24 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 58.01%EV -11.68%E -7.84%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%EV -17.74%E -4.13%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.88%EV -14.69%E -3.72%K -4.98%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-24 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.02%EV -10.50%E -6.95%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.61%EV -18.70%E -4.40%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-24 17:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.21%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.66%13.2%2026-08-24 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-24 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-24 13:09
Arbitrage (12 combinaisons) +0.14%Coolbet 1.62 (61.8%) / Unibet (SE) 6.10 (16.4%) / Unibet (SE) 4.60 (21.8%)Afficher les 12 combinaisons
Djurgardens IF (Local)Mjällby AIF (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Unibet (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.10 (16.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%
Coolbet🎯 1.62 (61.8%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.10 (16.4%)Pinnacle🎯 4.60 (21.8%)+0.139%