The School of Odds
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Djurgardens IF v IF Brommapojkarna

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prediction 60.47%1.65fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -10.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.33%60.47%60.47%62.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.511.511.5670.42%66.43%66.23%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)

Prediction 17.00%5.88fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.96%17.00%17.00%17.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.506.1020.00%18.14%18.18%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.53%4.44fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.304%
Kelly +0.391%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.63%22.53%22.53%22.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.124.104.5026.32%24.25%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Djurgardens IF (Local): 60.47%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 17.00%; Draw: 22.53%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.88. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +3.71%E +0.607%K +0.727%G +0.027%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +3.71%E +0.607%K +0.727%G +0.027%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.96%EV +3.71%E +0.607%K +0.727%G +0.027%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +1.37%E +0.304%K +0.391%G +0.005%2.7%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.48%E -4.89%K -14.11%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -4.80%E -0.856%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -5.39%E -1.28%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -8.69%E -5.75%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -6.50%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -7.64%E -1.86%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.47%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 10:40
BetRivers🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.47%EV -9.90%E -6.64%K -20.19%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.00%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -9.90%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 10:40
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.46%EV -10.50%E -7.09%K -21.88%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.88%EV -9.90%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.65%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 10:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -11.10%E -7.55%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.43%EV -11.10%E -7.55%K -23.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.08%EV -11.60%E -2.23%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -11.02%E -2.79%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 60.33%EV -14.13%E -9.95%K -33.64%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.13%EV -15.00%E -3.00%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -14.40%E -3.79%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-17 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.