L’École des cotes

Djurgardens IF v Halmstads BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-13 17:00 UTC

Score final : Djurgardens IF 3–0 Halmstads BK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Prévision 77.04%1.30cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -8.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.56%77.02%77.09%81.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.091.191.201.2791.74%83.73%83.33%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Halmstads BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.92%11.22cote équitable
EV +42.66%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +2.84%
Croissance +1.21%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.12%8.91%8.95%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.5010.8810.5016.0011.76%9.19%9.52%6.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.05%7.12cote équitable
EV +12.38%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.77%
Croissance +0.219%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.24%14.07%13.96%15.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.756.596.708.0017.39%15.17%14.93%12.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:34
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:44
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.12%EV +20.37%E +1.51%K +1.63%G +0.332%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%EV +5.35%E +0.714%K +0.823%G +0.044%4.1%2026-07-13 16:35
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +15.91%E +1.22%K +1.33%G +0.211%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +15.91%E +1.22%K +1.33%G +0.211%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:45
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.45%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 16:50
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -5.89%E -0.878%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 16:25
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -5.89%E -0.878%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 16:44
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 78.72%EV -11.41%E -9.92%K -76.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 16:25
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 78.86%EV -12.18%E -10.68%K -86.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -12.95%E -11.46%K -99.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 16:35
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -12.95%E -11.46%K -99.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 16:34
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.50%EV -2.16%E -1.70%K -8.01%G +0.000%11.33I 8.83%NM 8.58%EV +1.02%E +0.090%K +0.099%G +0.001%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.92%EV -8.55%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-13 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:44
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:44
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:45
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -19.23%E -3.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 16:45
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 78.78%EV -16.03%E -14.71%K -178.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.81%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.42%EV -10.10%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-13 16:35
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%10.71I 9.34%NM 8.89%EV -4.51%E -0.421%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -2.51%E -0.362%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 16:50
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.34%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.67%EV -3.08%E -0.446%K -0.521%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 16:34
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.77%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 16:24
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 16:44
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 16:34
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 16:44
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 16:45
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.79%E -5.61%K -32.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 16:45
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 16:34
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -19.23%E -3.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -12.21%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 16:35
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.59%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.45%EV -12.91%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 16:35
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -13.07%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 16:44
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.83%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -15.29%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 16:25
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -15.29%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-13 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.24%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.98%EV -16.19%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 16:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -19.75%E -2.19%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:34
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.75%E -2.19%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 16:44
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%0.5%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.27%1.8%2026-07-13 16:50