La escuela de los momios

Djurgardens IF v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-07-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Djurgardens IF 3–0 Halmstads BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Djurgardens IF (Local)

Predicción 77.04%1.30momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.70%
Kelly -8.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.56%77.02%77.09%81.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.091.191.201.2791.74%83.73%83.33%78.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 8.92%11.22momio equitativo
EV +42.66%
Ventaja +2.67%
Kelly +2.84%
Crecimiento +1.21%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 16.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.12%8.91%8.95%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.8810.5016.0011.76%9.19%9.52%6.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.05%7.12momio equitativo
EV +12.38%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.219%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.24%14.07%13.96%15.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.756.596.708.0017.39%15.17%14.93%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:34
ATG (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:44
Svenska Spel1.20I 83.33%NM 81.63%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.12%EV +42.66%E +2.67%K +2.84%G +1.21%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.24%EV +12.38%E +1.55%K +1.77%G +0.219%2.1%2026-07-13 16:45
Coolbet1.20I 83.33%NM 80.07%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.12%EV +20.37%E +1.51%K +1.63%G +0.332%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%EV +5.35%E +0.714%K +0.823%G +0.044%4.1%2026-07-13 16:35
Grosvenor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +15.91%E +1.22%K +1.33%G +0.211%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV +15.91%E +1.22%K +1.33%G +0.211%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
Casumo1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:34
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 79.46%EV -10.64%E -9.17%K -66.48%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.37%EV +11.45%E +0.916%K +0.996%G +0.114%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 16:45
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.45%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.94%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.52I 15.34%NM 14.61%EV -8.41%E -1.29%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 16:50
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -5.89%E -0.878%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 16:25
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +7.00%E +0.583%K +0.636%G +0.045%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.91%EV -5.89%E -0.878%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-13 16:44
BetRivers1.15I 86.96%NM 78.72%EV -11.41%E -9.92%K -76.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.87%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.41%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-13 16:25
TABtouch1.14I 87.72%NM 78.86%EV -12.18%E -10.68%K -86.99%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.82%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -12.95%E -11.46%K -99.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 16:35
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 79.01%EV -12.95%E -11.46%K -99.60%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.76%EV +2.54%E +0.221%K +0.242%G +0.006%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.23%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-13 16:34
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.50%EV -2.16%E -1.70%K -8.01%G +0.000%11.33I 8.83%NM 8.58%EV +1.02%E +0.090%K +0.099%G +0.001%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.92%EV -8.55%E -1.31%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-13 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:24
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:44
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:44
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.09%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 16:45
PlayUp1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.28%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -19.23%E -3.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-13 16:45
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 78.78%EV -16.03%E -14.71%K -178.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.81%EV -1.92%E -0.175%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.42%EV -10.10%E -1.58%K -1.87%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-13 16:35
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 77.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%10.71I 9.34%NM 8.89%EV -4.51%E -0.421%K -0.464%G +0.000%6.94I 14.41%NM 13.72%EV -2.51%E -0.362%K -0.423%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 16:50
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 77.34%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.99%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.67%EV -3.08%E -0.446%K -0.521%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 16:34
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 16:44
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.77%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -6.38%E -0.607%K -0.671%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 16:24
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 16:44
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 16:34
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 16:44
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 16:45
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 75.60%EV -6.79%E -5.61%K -32.31%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-13 16:45
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.95%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-13 16:34
Betr (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.26%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -19.23%E -3.34%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 16:44
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.52%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -12.21%E -1.95%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-13 16:35
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.69%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 76.59%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -10.84%E -1.08%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.45%EV -12.91%E -2.08%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-13 16:35
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 76.58%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.58%EV -13.07%E -1.34%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 16:44
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
BetUS1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
BetAnything1.23I 81.30%NM 76.39%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.79%EV -14.40%E -1.50%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.82%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-13 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.19I 84.03%NM 76.83%EV -8.33%E -7.00%K -43.82%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -15.29%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -5.18%E -0.768%K -0.901%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 16:25
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -9.10%E -7.71%K -50.54%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -15.29%E -1.61%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-13 16:34
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 76.24%EV -5.24%E -4.26%K -22.80%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.98%EV -16.19%E -1.72%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.48%E -0.659%K -0.773%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 16:50
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.02%E -4.93%K -27.34%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV -19.75%E -2.19%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -1.67%E -0.239%K -0.279%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 16:34
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -19.75%E -2.19%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-13 16:44
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.56%E -6.30%K -37.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-13 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.04%EV -9.87%E -8.43%K -58.04%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.33%EV -24.21%E -2.85%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -15.72%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.95%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.09%0.5%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.69%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.26%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.9%2026-07-13 16:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.18%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.27%1.8%2026-07-13 16:50