The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Degerfors IF v Västerås SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 18:00 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 0–3 Västerås SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prediction 33.02%3.03fair odd
EV -0.945%
Edge -0.315%
Kelly -0.472%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%32.91%33.08%34.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.773.0038.46%35.93%36.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Västerås SK (Visit)

Prediction 38.99%2.56fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.42%38.99%38.97%41.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.382.5047.62%42.26%42.02%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.99%3.57fair odd
EV -0.624%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.245%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%28.10%27.96%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.273.253.5533.33%30.59%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Degerfors IF (Local): 33.02%; Västerås SK (Visit): 38.99%; Draw: 27.99%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.624%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -0.945%E -0.315%K -0.472%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.15%EV -4.09%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-28 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -2.60%E -0.880%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -14.23%E -6.47%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-28 17:05
Betsson🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.35%EV -2.93%E -0.995%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.20%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.45%EV -9.58%E -2.97%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -3.31%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -0.624%E -0.176%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-28 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -3.31%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -0.624%E -0.176%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-28 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.49%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.16%EV -3.31%E -1.33%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.36%EV -0.624%E -0.176%K -0.245%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-28 17:45
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 17:05
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.38%E -3.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -4.25%E -1.46%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 17:34
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.82%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 17:44
NordicBet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.36%EV -4.91%E -1.70%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -4.48%E -1.83%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-28 17:55
Pinnacle🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 33.46%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.87%EV -3.70%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.67%EV -2.86%E -0.825%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-28 17:45
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.43%EV -4.09%E -1.66%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.39%EV -6.78%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-28 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-28 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -5.90%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.38%E -3.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-28 17:35
1xBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.12%EV -6.89%E -2.44%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.75%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.13%EV -7.06%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 17:45
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.18%EV -3.70%E -1.50%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 15:30
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -5.26%E -2.16%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 17:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-28 17:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-28 15:35
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 17:50
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 17:43
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-28 17:50
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:25
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -7.55%E -2.70%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-28 17:25
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 17:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 17:45
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.82%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-28 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-28 17:50
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 16:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 16:30
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-28 16:29
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.21%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-28 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.38%E -3.56%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-28 17:05
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -6.43%E -2.68%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.22%E -4.26%K -6.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-28 17:55
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -9.20%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -16.02%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-28 17:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -10.19%E -3.75%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -11.11%E -4.87%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-28 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:25
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-28 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-28 16:28
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -9.16%E -3.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -9.16%E -3.93%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-28 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.39%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -9.55%E -4.12%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -9.02%E -2.78%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-28 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -10.85%E -4.02%K -6.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.91%EV -18.12%E -8.63%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -11.82%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-28 17:34
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -12.50%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -10.33%E -4.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-28 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -13.16%E -5.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.77%EV -11.11%E -4.87%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.61%EV -13.16%E -5.00%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.77%EV -11.11%E -4.87%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-28 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -13.49%E -5.15%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-28 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -14.15%E -5.44%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -12.28%E -5.46%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -10.42%E -3.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-28 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-28 17:40
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.93%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.66%1.1%2026-10-28 17:35
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.68%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-10-28 17:35