L’École des cotes

Degerfors IF v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 13:00 UTC

Score final : Degerfors IF 0–1 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Degerfors IF (Local)

Prévision 31.57%3.17cote équitable
EV +10.51%
Avantage +3.00%
Kelly +4.20%
Croissance +0.442%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.51%31.26%31.62%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.992.953.5037.04%33.40%33.90%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.68%2.52cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.50%40.02%39.52%44.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.282.302.4450.76%43.86%43.48%40.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.75%3.48cote équitable
EV +0.611%
Avantage +0.175%
Kelly +0.244%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%28.71%28.86%29.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.15%31.25%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV +10.51%E +3.00%K +4.20%G +0.442%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-04 12:45
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-04 12:40
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-04 12:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.4%2026-07-04 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +2.62%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -15.09%E -7.05%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +2.62%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -15.09%E -7.05%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 12:40
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.94%EV +1.35%E +0.422%K +0.613%G +0.008%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.96%EV -9.13%E -3.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -1.69%E -0.494%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 12:35
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:38
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -0.540%E -0.171%K -0.251%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -17.47%E -8.40%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 12:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.01%EV -17.86%E -8.63%K -16.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-04 12:40
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-04 12:40
Pinnacle3.02I 33.11%NM 31.75%EV -4.64%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 12:50
1xBet3.01I 33.22%NM 31.15%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.56%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:45
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:55
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 12:55
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:50
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 12:55
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:40
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 12:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:50
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.39%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 43.23%EV -21.83%E -11.08%K -22.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.39%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%17.4%2026-07-04 12:40
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 12:55
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 12:40
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-04 12:30
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.68%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 12:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 12:35
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:35
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:35
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 12:35
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Bet Victor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-04 12:35
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.07%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 12:40
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.07%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-04 12:45
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 12:40
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-04 12:50
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-04 12:35
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 12:50
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -14.69%E -6.83%K -12.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:35
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:35
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-04 12:35
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.83%EV -9.53%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 12:48
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-04 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-07-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-07-04 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-07-04 12:45
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%1.0%2026-07-04 12:55
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33%1.8%2026-07-04 12:45