La escuela de los momiosDegerfors IF v Malmo FF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Degerfors IF (Local)
Predicción 31.57%3.17momio equitativo
EV +10.51%
Ventaja +3.00%
Kelly +4.20%
Crecimiento +0.442%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%31.26%31.62%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.992.953.5037.04%33.40%33.90%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Malmo FF (Visitante)
Predicción 39.68%2.52momio equitativo
EV -3.18%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -2.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.50%40.02%39.52%44.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.282.302.4450.76%43.86%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.75%3.48momio equitativo
EV +0.611%
Ventaja +0.175%
Kelly +0.244%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%28.71%28.86%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.15%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV +10.51%E +3.00%K +4.20%G +0.442% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.17%EV -13.50%E -6.19%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.32%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV +8.93%E +2.59%K +3.65%G +0.326% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.79%EV -11.51%E -5.16%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.90%EV +0.611%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +2.62%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -15.09%E -7.05%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV +2.62%E +0.805%K +1.16%G +0.030% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -15.09%E -7.05%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| GTbets | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.94%EV +1.35%E +0.422%K +0.613%G +0.008% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.96%EV -9.13%E -3.99%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.10%EV -1.69%E -0.494%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| betPARX | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV +1.04%E +0.325%K +0.472%G +0.005% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.20%EV -15.88%E -7.49%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 12:38 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -0.540%E -0.171%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -17.47%E -8.40%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.01%EV -17.86%E -8.63%K -16.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -2.12%E -0.683%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.25%EV -18.66%E -9.10%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.75%EV -4.64%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -3.18%E -1.30%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.96%EV -4.85%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.15%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.56%EV -5.96%E -2.51%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| BetAnything | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.02%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -9.45%E -3.00%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.39%EV -5.28%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 43.23%EV -21.83%E -11.08%K -22.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.39%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -2.26%E -0.666%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -6.86%E -2.32%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -7.80%E -2.67%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.68%EV -3.98%E -1.64%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -4.77%E -1.99%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -5.56%E -2.34%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -9.07%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -5.14%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.07%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -6.58%E -2.02%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-04 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.01%E -2.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -6.75%E -2.87%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -13.76%E -4.59%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.62%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.35%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.32%E -4.04%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -14.69%E -6.83%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -8.74%E -3.80%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.79%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.83%EV -9.53%E -4.18%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.38%EV -10.31%E -3.31%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-04 12:48 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -10.72%E -4.77%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -10.89%E -3.51%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 12:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 12:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.69% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.98% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.33% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 12:45 |