Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Degerfors IF v Halmstads BK

Início: 2026-09-05 13:00 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 2–0 Halmstads BK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Degerfors IF (Local)

Previsão 49.14%2.04odd justa
EV -4.18%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -4.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.54%49.01%49.27%51.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.871.891.9556.82%53.42%52.91%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Previsão 23.82%4.20odd justa
EV +3.60%
Vantagem +0.828%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.039%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.34%23.78%23.78%25.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.903.854.3528.57%25.67%25.97%22.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.05%3.70odd justa
EV +0.075%
Vantagem +0.020%
Kelly +0.028%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.18%27.20%26.95%29.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.413.403.7032.26%29.35%29.41%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Degerfors IF (Local): 49.14%; Halmstads BK (Visitante): 23.82%; Empate: 27.05%. Para Halmstads BK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.20. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.35, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.13%E -3.77%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%EV +3.60%E +0.828%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.075%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 00:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.13%E -3.77%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%EV +3.60%E +0.828%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.075%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 00:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -7.13%E -3.77%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%EV +3.60%E +0.828%K +1.08%G +0.039%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%EV +0.075%E +0.020%K +0.028%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.50%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%EV +0.031%E +0.007%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%EV -2.63%E -0.731%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-31 20:10
Pinnacle🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.81%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.09%EV -1.87%E -0.455%K -0.601%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.10%EV -5.06%E -1.44%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 13:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:04
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:04
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:04
GTbets🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.18%EV -7.62%E -4.06%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.80%EV -4.79%E -1.36%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 21:45
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:20
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:20
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -10.08%E -5.51%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -5.17%E -2.68%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -2.35%E -0.573%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -16.15%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 04:15
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.64%EV -7.13%E -3.77%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.17%EV -3.54%E -0.875%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-31 14:10
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.61%EV -7.13%E -3.77%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.21%EV -3.78%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -4.73%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:00
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -5.66%E -2.95%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.92%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.62%E -4.06%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.92%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -7.62%E -4.06%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -5.92%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 05:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.11%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 10:05
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.17%EV -12.05%E -6.73%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -7.11%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.31%EV -12.54%E -7.04%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -7.11%E -1.82%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-04 00:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.52%E -7.68%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.31%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.52%E -7.68%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.31%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.24%EV -13.52%E -7.68%K -17.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -8.31%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-04 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.47%EV -9.59%E -5.21%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.76%EV -8.78%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.77%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 13:10
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 00:21
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.33%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:00
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 06:54
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 02:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 02:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 02:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 02:55
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 16:50
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.50%E -2.50%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-31 21:43
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -4.18%E -2.15%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -10.69%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -10.69%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 00:20
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -8.12%E -4.34%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -10.69%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-04 13:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -11.56%E -6.42%K -14.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -10.69%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-31 21:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.99%EV -13.03%E -7.36%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -10.69%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.88%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.88%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -6.15%E -3.22%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -11.88%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.04%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.08%EV -9.59%E -5.21%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -13.07%E -3.58%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -6.69%E -1.94%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-02 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -6.64%E -3.50%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -10.74%E -3.26%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 13:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.81%EV -10.57%E -5.81%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -9.39%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-02 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 09:04
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 08:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 08:59
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.26%E -3.96%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 09:00
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -9.10%E -4.92%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -16.64%E -4.75%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -12.10%E -3.72%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-04 00:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-04 13:05
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.80%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-09-04 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.47%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-09-04 11:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.99I 50.25%NM 49.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.28%1.8%2026-09-04 13:00