Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Degerfors IF v AIK

Начало: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Итог: Degerfors IF 2–1 AIK

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (17 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Degerfors IF (Хозяева)

Прогноз 32.83%3.05справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.05%
Преимущество +1.58%
Kelly +2.29%
Рост +0.116%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
30.53%32.80%32.86%34.36%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.602.862.853.2038.46%34.92%35.09%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

AIK (Гости)

Прогноз 37.46%2.67справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.027%
Преимущество +0.010%
Kelly +0.016%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.67

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.03%37.56%37.49%41.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.122.402.402.6747.17%41.70%41.67%37.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 29.71%3.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.99%
Преимущество +1.14%
Kelly +1.59%
Рост +0.064%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.88%29.63%29.64%30.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.803.153.153.5035.71%31.72%31.75%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Degerfors IF (Хозяева): 32.83%; AIK (Гости): 37.46%; Ничья: 29.71%. Для исхода «Degerfors IF (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.05. 9 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.20, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.05%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +5.05%E +1.58%K +2.29%G +0.116%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.57%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.59%G +0.064%2.4%2026-04-23 16:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +5.05%E +1.58%K +2.29%G +0.116%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.57%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.59%G +0.064%2.4%2026-04-23 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV +1.76%E +0.569%K +0.839%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.01%E +0.298%K +0.423%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV +1.76%E +0.569%K +0.839%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.01%E +0.298%K +0.423%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:35
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:35
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -3.49%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.51%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 04:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
BetAnything🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:05
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:29
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:38
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:40
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -20.58%E -9.71%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 16:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 04:49
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:04
1xBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:55
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 04:45
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.03%EV +0.027%E +0.010%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 05:30
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:15
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:29
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:30
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 15:10
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 05:30
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:29
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 05:30
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:45
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 04:44
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 04:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 16:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 32.89%EV -12.35%E -4.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.85%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:32
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -13.99%E -5.34%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 04:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.65%E -5.63%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:50
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-23 16:55