La escuela de los momios

Degerfors IF v AIK

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Degerfors IF 2–1 AIK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Degerfors IF (Local)

Predicción 32.83%3.05momio equitativo
EV +5.05%
Ventaja +1.58%
Kelly +2.29%
Crecimiento +0.116%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.53%32.80%32.86%34.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.862.853.2038.46%34.92%35.09%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AIK (Visitante)

Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV +0.027%
Ventaja +0.010%
Kelly +0.016%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.03%37.56%37.49%41.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.402.402.6747.17%41.70%41.67%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.71%3.37momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.59%
Crecimiento +0.064%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.88%29.63%29.64%30.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.5035.71%31.72%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +5.05%E +1.58%K +2.29%G +0.116%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.57%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.59%G +0.064%2.4%2026-04-23 16:34
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.53%EV +5.05%E +1.58%K +2.29%G +0.116%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.57%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%EV +3.99%E +1.14%K +1.59%G +0.064%2.4%2026-04-23 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV +1.76%E +0.569%K +0.839%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.01%E +0.298%K +0.423%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV +1.76%E +0.569%K +0.839%G +0.015%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +1.01%E +0.298%K +0.423%G +0.004%5.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV +0.121%E +0.040%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -0.471%E -0.141%K -0.201%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:35
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:35
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:35
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -1.52%E -0.507%K -0.760%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.34%EV -16.46%E -7.38%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 16:34
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -3.16%E -1.07%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -17.58%E -7.99%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:35
Pinnacle2.94I 34.01%NM 32.66%EV -3.49%E -1.19%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.51%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.82%EV -4.33%E -1.35%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets2.91I 34.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.47%E -1.54%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.41%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -1.96%E -0.593%K -0.851%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 04:39
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
LowVig.ag2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:04
BetAnything2.90I 34.48%NM 32.84%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.34%E -1.30%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.24%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 13:05
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 15:10
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -4.80%E -1.66%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:29
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:38
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.48%EV -5.97%E -2.38%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:40
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 11:25
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.56%EV -5.46%E -1.90%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.51%EV -20.58%E -9.71%K -18.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.94%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 16:35
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -4.47%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 04:49
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 13:04
1xBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.49%EV -5.82%E -1.84%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:55
Betsson2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
NordicBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 13:05
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.44%E -2.26%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 04:45
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.36%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.03%EV +0.027%E +0.010%K +0.016%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.60%EV -3.44%E -1.06%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-23 11:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.87%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 05:30
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 15:15
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:29
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:34
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-23 14:30
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -8.09%E -2.89%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.36%EV -15.71%E -6.98%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -16.81%E -6.00%K -9.34%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 15:10
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 05:30
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -4.93%E -1.54%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 05:29
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 16:10
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -7.90%E -2.55%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 05:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 13:04
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -9.73%E -3.54%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.84%E -4.77%K -7.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-23 15:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 04:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:45
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 32.95%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.39%EV -10.84%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 04:44
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 04:44
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 32.90%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.48%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.61%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 04:44
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.37%E -4.21%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 16:34
Betclic (FR)2.67I 37.45%NM 32.89%EV -12.35%E -4.63%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.85%EV -13.09%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 16:32
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.73%EV -13.99%E -5.34%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.82%EV -10.09%E -4.20%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -10.87%E -3.62%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 04:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -14.65%E -5.63%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.38%E -3.08%K -4.58%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 04:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.89%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.32%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.34%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.33%1.4%2026-04-23 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%1.5%2026-04-23 16:55