Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken v Örgryte IS

Kickoff: 2026-10-11 14:30 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 3–0 Örgryte IS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 74.30%1.35fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.62%
Kelly -11.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.21%74.30%74.33%75.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.251.251.3086.21%80.30%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örgryte IS (Visit)

Prediction 10.07%9.93fair odd
EV +20.83%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +1.89%
Growth +0.394%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.93%9.98%10.04%11.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.269.4012.0012.50%10.80%10.64%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.63%6.40fair odd
EV +1.60%
Edge +0.246%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.48%15.72%15.64%17.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.205.855.806.5019.23%17.09%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 74.30%; Örgryte IS (Visit): 10.07%; Draw: 15.63%. For Örgryte IS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.93. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.83%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.90%E -3.82%K -17.49%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +20.83%E +1.74%K +1.89%G +0.394%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.78%EV -16.38%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-11 14:24
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 73.97%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +15.79%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.238%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -18.72%E -3.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 14:24
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.45%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.91%EV +8.24%E +0.767%K +0.845%G +0.070%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.63%EV -4.18%E -0.682%K -0.815%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +5.73%E +0.545%K +0.603%G +0.035%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%2.4%2026-10-11 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +5.73%E +0.545%K +0.603%G +0.035%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%2.4%2026-10-11 14:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.68%EV -4.15%E -3.22%K -14.32%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.30%EV +5.73%E +0.545%K +0.603%G +0.035%6.50I 15.38%NM 15.02%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%2.4%2026-10-11 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.38%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV +5.73%E +0.545%K +0.603%G +0.035%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:20
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +0.691%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:24
Bovada🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +0.691%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 14:15
BetUS🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV +0.691%E +0.069%K +0.077%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-11 14:15
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.95%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.11%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +1.60%E +0.246%K +0.291%G +0.005%5.9%2026-10-11 14:14
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:25
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:20
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:20
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.48%EV -6.38%E -5.06%K -24.55%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-11 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.63%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.82%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-11 14:14
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:14
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-11 14:14
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.74%EV -8.61%E -7.00%K -37.44%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.58%EV -7.78%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 14:24
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.01%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.61%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -17.94%E -3.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 14:24
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.59%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -4.34%E -0.457%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:12
LowVig.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.25%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -5.35%E -0.569%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.25%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -5.35%E -0.569%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:24
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.25%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.03%EV -5.35%E -0.569%K -0.637%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-11 14:25
GTbets🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.04%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%9.33I 10.72%NM 10.08%EV -6.06%E -0.649%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 15.88%EV -7.47%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 14:14
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.72%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.10%EV -6.86%E -0.742%K -0.832%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.19%EV -3.87%E -0.629%K -0.752%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-11 14:15
BetMGM🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.39%EV -5.64%E -4.44%K -20.88%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:14
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 14:14
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -7.87%E -6.35%K -32.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-11 14:23
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89%EV -7.87%E -6.35%K -32.78%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 14:14
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 14:15
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.84%E -9.03%K -54.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.84%E -9.03%K -54.20%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -9.38%E -1.04%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 75.09%EV -13.81%E -11.91%K -86.32%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.90%EV -11.39%E -1.29%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.02%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-11 14:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.83%EV -8.61%E -7.00%K -37.44%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.38%EV -11.90%E -1.36%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-11 14:15
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -3.41%E -2.62%K -11.37%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV -9.34%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -7.87%E -6.35%K -32.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.92%EV -7.87%E -6.35%K -32.78%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.64%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -14.03%E -2.55%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.45%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-11 14:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.92%EV -10.10%E -8.34%K -48.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.52%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.56%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-11 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -10.10%E -8.34%K -48.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.61%EV -10.10%E -8.34%K -48.08%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV -14.41%E -1.70%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -12.47%E -2.23%K -2.71%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-11 14:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:15
Neds🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -7.12%E -5.70%K -28.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -10.12%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48%EV -2.31%E -0.369%K -0.440%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-11 14:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 73.91%EV -10.10%E -8.34%K -48.08%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.18%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-11 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.07%EV -10.84%E -9.03%K -54.20%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.81%EV -6.22%E -1.04%K -1.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-11 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 72.21%EV -9.35%E -7.67%K -42.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -19.45%E -2.43%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.78%EV -17.94%E -3.42%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-11 14:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-10-11 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-10-11 14:25
Matchbook◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.34%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.63%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.04%0.8%2026-10-11 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.30I 76.92%NM 76.04%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.99%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.98%1.2%2026-10-11 14:25
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 76.47%11.49I 8.70%NM 8.59%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-10-11 14:25