The School of Odds
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BK Hacken v IFK Goteborg

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 15:30 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 1–0 IFK Goteborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

BK Hacken (Local)

Prediction 55.85%1.79fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.12%55.85%55.88%58.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.671.7365.36%60.13%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Goteborg (Visit)

Prediction 21.54%4.64fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.439%
Kelly -0.562%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.72%21.55%21.54%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.5526.67%23.73%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.61%4.42fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -0.429%
Kelly -0.558%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.20%22.59%22.58%23.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.044.034.3426.32%24.75%24.84%23.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: BK Hacken (Local): 55.85%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 21.54%; Draw: 22.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.34, with an expected value of -1.86%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV -2.77%E -0.644%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV -2.77%E -0.644%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.69%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.90%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.41%EV -2.77%E -0.644%K -0.839%G +0.000%3.8%2026-11-01 10:20
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.55%EV -3.38%E -1.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.61%EV -3.90%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 15:10
GTbets🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.49%EV -3.94%E -2.29%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.19I 23.87%NM 22.37%EV -9.75%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.14%EV -8.42%E -2.08%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:20
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.73%EV -4.50%E -2.63%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.44%EV -10.18%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.83%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.64%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:25
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:20
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:19
Casumo🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -5.06%E -2.97%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.77%EV -5.62%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.13%EV -2.21%E -0.487%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.10%EV -1.86%E -0.429%K -0.558%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 15:25
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.25%EV -5.62%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.89%EV -2.00%E -0.439%K -0.562%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.85%EV -5.93%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-01 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.62%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:05
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -5.62%E -3.32%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.07%E -0.683%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.07%E -0.683%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 15:20
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.07%E -0.683%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 15:20
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.54%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -3.07%E -0.683%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 15:15
FanDuel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.30%E -1.45%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -3.90%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 11:10
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -5.03%E -1.20%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 15:00
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 11:10
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:05
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.77%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.64%EV -6.73%E -4.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.10%EV -10.68%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 10:20
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.57%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.09%EV -3.90%E -0.917%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -9.54%E -2.27%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-01 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.49%EV -7.29%E -4.39%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -10.68%E -2.70%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 10:19
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.39%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.91%EV -4.15%E -0.933%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 15:15
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.84%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.68%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 15:00
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 14:54
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -6.74%E -1.56%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -9.55%E -2.39%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.78%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.48%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 10:20
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.15%EV -7.85%E -4.76%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.51%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.41%E -5.13%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -7.29%E -1.78%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.63%EV -8.41%E -5.13%K -13.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 10:20
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.34%EV -8.97%E -5.50%K -14.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.23%EV -8.46%E -1.99%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.43%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 15:25
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.84%E -3.46%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.81%E -3.03%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 15:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -14.92%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 10:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.62%EV -9.53%E -5.88%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.40%EV -14.92%E -3.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.98%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.47%EV -10.08%E -6.26%K -16.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -10.61%E -2.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -12.26%E -3.16%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 15:04
BoyleSports🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.12%EV -10.64%E -6.65%K -17.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.09%EV -19.23%E -5.13%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%EV -14.07%E -3.70%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.5%2026-11-01 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.08%EV -11.76%E -7.44%K -20.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31%EV -16.00%E -4.10%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-01 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.07%EV -12.32%E -7.85%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.72%EV -5.23%E -1.19%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.20%EV -2.77%E -0.644%K -0.839%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.48%EV -14.55%E -9.51%K -27.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.08%EV -11.69%E -2.85%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.44%EV -12.94%E -3.36%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-01 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-11-01 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.38%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.05%0.8%2026-11-01 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%0.9%2026-11-01 15:25
Smarkets◎1.74I 57.47%NM 56.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.22%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%2.5%2026-11-01 15:25

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