L’École des cotes

AIK v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 13:02 UTC

Score final : AIK 0–3 IK Sirius

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

AIK (Local)

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV +9.03%
Avantage +2.35%
Kelly +3.17%
Croissance +0.286%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.45%28.16%28.38%29.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.8533.33%30.09%30.30%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.37%2.16cote équitable
EV -2.15%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.80%46.53%46.31%49.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.771.971.972.1156.50%50.88%50.76%47.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.31%3.95cote équitable
EV -0.041%
Avantage -0.010%
Kelly -0.014%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.42%25.31%25.31%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.613.603.9532.26%27.72%27.78%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +9.03%E +2.35%K +3.17%G +0.286%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.041%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 12:59
ATG (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +9.03%E +2.35%K +3.17%G +0.286%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.041%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Svenska Spel3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +9.03%E +2.35%K +3.17%G +0.286%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%EV -8.64%E -4.39%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%EV -0.041%E -0.010%K -0.014%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV +3.37%E +0.922%K +1.27%G +0.043%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.62%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -2.57%E -0.668%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV +1.95%E +0.542%K +0.750%G +0.015%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -11.43%E -5.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 13:00
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV +0.535%E +0.151%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 13:00
Casumo3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV +0.535%E +0.151%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV +0.535%E +0.151%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:59
Grosvenor3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV +0.535%E +0.151%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:59
betPARX3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV +0.535%E +0.151%K +0.210%G +0.001%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -12.82%E -6.82%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:59
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -14.21%E -7.68%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 12:59
BetRivers3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -14.21%E -7.68%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -10.16%E -2.86%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-30 12:55
TABtouch3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -2.30%E -0.666%K -0.938%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -14.21%E -7.68%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 13:00
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.21%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.34%EV -4.01%E -1.93%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.44%EV -4.60%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 12:59
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:00
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:00
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:00
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:59
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 13:00
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 12:59
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 13:00
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -3.71%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -15.14%E -8.27%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 13:00
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.33%EV -5.13%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.76%EV -5.86%E -2.89%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.91%EV -3.58%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 12:59
GTbets3.34I 29.94%NM 28.77%EV -5.41%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.54%EV -2.15%E -1.02%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.69%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 12:59
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-30 13:00
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.93%EV -5.40%E -2.65%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 12:59
NordicBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:59
Betsson3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 13:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-30 13:00
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:00
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%EV -6.55%E -1.98%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.43%EV -17.92%E -10.12%K -23.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -15.22%E -4.54%K -6.48%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-30 12:59
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.61%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:59
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -5.10%E -1.36%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:59
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.96%E -2.45%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 13:00
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.37%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 12:59
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:59
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:59
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:59
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 12:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 12:59
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.38%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Betclic (FR)3.17I 31.55%NM 28.44%EV -10.23%E -3.23%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.72%EV -10.50%E -5.44%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.84%EV -8.14%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 12:58
Bet Victor3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -11.64%E -3.73%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:58
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.63%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 12:59
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -4.93%E -2.41%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:59
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.24%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.87%EV -6.32%E -3.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 12:59
Winamax (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.69%EV -8.18%E -4.13%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-30 13:00
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -9.57%E -4.91%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -13.96%E -4.11%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-30 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.21%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -11.43%E -5.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -21.55%E -6.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-30 13:00
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -13.63%E -4.47%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -7.25%E -3.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:59
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.31%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.27%EV -11.89%E -6.26%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -8.90%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-30 12:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -11.43%E -5.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.43%E -3.27%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.72%EV -15.04%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.31%EV -13.74%E -7.39%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -12.69%E -3.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-30 12:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25%0.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25%0.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.05%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.25%0.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-05-30 13:00
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.18%1.8%2026-05-30 13:00