Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK v IF Elfsborg

2026-10-27 18:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 29.37%3.41fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -0.690%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%29.37%29.37%30.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.123.103.3535.09%32.06%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 44.31%2.26fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.90%44.31%44.31%45.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.062.072.1853.19%48.48%48.31%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.32%3.80fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.471%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.32%26.32%26.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.403.7530.77%28.74%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AIK (Local): 29.37%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 44.31%; Draw: 26.32%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.75, with an expected value of -1.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.30%E -0.345%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-20 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.30%E -0.345%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-20 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV -1.62%E -0.484%K -0.690%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.80%EV -3.40%E -1.56%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%EV -1.30%E -0.345%K -0.471%G +0.000%2.4%2026-10-20 13:55
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.94%E -3.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.94%E -3.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.94%E -3.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 13:55
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.94%E -3.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 13:55
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.03%E -1.88%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.49%EV -6.94%E -3.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -6.56%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 13:53
1xBet🎯3.17I 31.55%NM 29.34%EV -6.91%E -2.18%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.08%EV -6.50%E -3.08%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.88%E -2.25%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.93%EV -8.27%E -4.00%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-20 13:50
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.96%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -8.72%E -4.23%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 13:55
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.48%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.08%EV -9.60%E -4.71%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-20 13:55
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -10.43%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.90%EV -9.60%E -4.71%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -10.49%E -5.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-20 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -10.49%E -5.19%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-20 13:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -11.90%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -12.71%E -6.45%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-20 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -13.37%E -4.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.37%EV -12.26%E -6.19%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.84%EV -10.51%E -3.09%K -4.38%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-20 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.76%EV -13.37%E -4.53%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.13%EV -16.69%E -8.88%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -14.46%E -4.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-20 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.26%EV -16.30%E -5.72%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.00%EV -13.15%E -6.71%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.74%EV -11.82%E -3.53%K -5.03%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-20 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.