The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AIK v IF Elfsborg

Kickoff: 2026-10-27 18:00 UTC

Final: AIK 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 29.92%3.34fair odd
EV +1.74%
Edge +0.513%
Kelly +0.727%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%29.76%30.01%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.4034.48%32.20%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visit)

Prediction 44.65%2.24fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.808%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.38%44.88%44.58%48.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.062.052.2053.48%48.59%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.43%3.93fair odd
EV -0.830%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.95%25.35%25.41%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.9029.41%27.60%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 29.92%; IF Elfsborg (Visit): 44.65%; Draw: 25.43%. For AIK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV +1.74%E +0.513%K +0.727%G +0.013%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.15%EV -16.51%E -8.83%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.36%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-27 17:30
GTbets🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 28.08%EV +0.847%E +0.251%K +0.357%G +0.003%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.62%EV -9.37%E -4.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.30%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-27 17:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -1.25%E -0.378%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-27 17:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -1.25%E -0.378%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.58%EV -1.25%E -0.378%K -0.543%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.40%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.03%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%2.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Betsson🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.53%EV -3.64%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.43%EV -4.46%E -2.08%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.05%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-27 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.96%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.01%EV -4.90%E -2.30%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.03%EV -2.61%E -0.681%K -0.922%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-27 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -7.13%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -7.13%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 17:55
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -7.13%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 17:55
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.77%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.80%EV -7.13%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.43%EV -0.830%E -0.213%K -0.286%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 17:55
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.58%EV -5.35%E -2.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-27 17:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.24%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-27 17:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -1.78%E -0.808%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.67%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-27 17:55
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.11%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.96%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.74%E -1.82%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-27 17:55
DraftKings🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-27 17:55
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.37%E -0.888%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 17:55
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -3.37%E -0.888%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-27 17:50
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.24%E -2.97%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -4.64%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.01%E -1.86%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-27 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-27 17:55
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:44
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:44
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:45
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-27 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -12.94%E -6.64%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -3.37%E -0.888%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-27 17:55
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.71%E -5.35%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 17:55
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.23%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.71%E -5.35%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-27 17:35
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -7.58%E -3.66%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -5.92%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.57%EV -8.92%E -4.37%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 17:55
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.68%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.82%EV -9.81%E -4.86%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.74%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -8.73%E -2.86%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.71%E -5.35%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-27 17:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-27 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-27 17:55
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -7.13%E -3.43%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 17:55
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.54%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-27 17:55
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.71%E -5.35%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-27 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -10.23%E -3.41%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.53%EV -14.28%E -7.44%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.34%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-27 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 29.97%EV -10.82%E -3.63%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.99%EV -9.37%E -4.61%K -9.09%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.04%EV -12.78%E -3.73%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-27 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.69%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-27 17:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.90%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.54%EV -11.60%E -5.86%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.56%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.4%2026-10-27 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -11.72%E -3.97%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -12.05%E -6.11%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -12.27%E -3.56%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-27 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.47%E -4.13%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.00%E -3.14%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-27 17:55
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -13.22%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.68%EV -14.72%E -7.71%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -8.46%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-27 17:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-10-27 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.55%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-10-27 17:55
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.43%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.54%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-10-27 17:55

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