Language:English
AIK v IF Brommapojkarna
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
AIK (Local)
Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.98
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.72%48.99%48.77%50.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.891.881.9857.14%53.04%53.19%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Brommapojkarna (Visit)
Prediction 25.95%3.85fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.698%
Kelly +0.934%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%25.85%26.06%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.503.9631.25%28.35%28.57%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.08%3.99fair odd
EV -0.953%
Edge -0.241%
Kelly -0.323%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.16%25.16%25.17%26.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.673.9529.41%27.40%27.21%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: AIK (Local): 48.97%; IF Brommapojkarna (Visit): 25.95%; Draw: 25.08%. For IF Brommapojkarna (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.82%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV +2.77%E +0.698%K +0.934%G +0.026% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.14%EV -8.73%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-05 09:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.69%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +1.21%E +0.310%K +0.417%G +0.005% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 13:18 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -0.089%E -0.023%K -0.031%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-05 09:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.05%EV -2.43%E -0.645%K -0.879%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.85%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-24 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 20:03 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -2.68%E -0.716%K -0.976%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-29 22:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.953%E -0.241%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 19:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.953%E -0.241%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.23%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.21%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.953%E -0.241%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 07:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-29 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.98%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-28 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.72%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 09:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.93%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.16%EV -6.32%E -1.75%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.92%EV -4.97%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-05 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-29 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-24 20:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 13:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.58%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.68%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-03 20:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.34%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.87%E -2.22%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 13:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.22%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-05 13:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -8.48%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-03 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-05 05:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 00:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-05 00:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -5.97%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-30 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.22%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.48%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -14.30%E -8.17%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.77%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -12.24%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-02 06:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.13%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.40%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -13.06%E -3.90%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 13:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-04 13:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.17%EV -9.89%E -5.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.97%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-30 19:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.31%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.79%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.90%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-30 19:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.36%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -14.74%E -4.34%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-09-29 12:53 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.88%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.72%EV -14.88%E -4.54%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 13:18 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.60%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.73%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.46%EV -12.83%E -7.21%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -15.66%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%EV -13.49%E -3.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-04 13:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.77%EV -9.89%E -5.37%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -16.96%E -5.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.76%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-04 18:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 11:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97% | 9.1% | 2026-10-05 11:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 10:05 |