The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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AIK v BK Hacken

2026-11-08 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AIK (Local)

Prediction 26.47%3.78fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.665%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.35%26.47%26.47%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.503.503.8532.79%28.60%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 49.42%2.02fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -2.66%
Kelly -5.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.56%49.42%49.42%50.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.841.841.9258.14%54.48%54.35%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.281%
Kelly -0.371%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.11%24.11%24.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.833.834.1027.78%26.12%26.14%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AIK (Local): 26.47%; BK Hacken (Visit): 49.42%; Draw: 24.11%. For AIK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.85, producing a positive expected value of +1.90%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.665%G +0.013%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.15%E -0.281%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.665%G +0.013%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.15%E -0.281%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%EV +1.90%E +0.493%K +0.665%G +0.013%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%EV -5.11%E -2.66%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%EV -1.15%E -0.281%K -0.371%G +0.000%2.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.40%E -0.931%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -8.57%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.40%E -0.931%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -8.57%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.40%E -0.931%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -8.57%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.40%E -0.931%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -8.57%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -3.40%E -0.931%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -8.57%E -4.63%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -9.55%E -5.22%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.59%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 15:45
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.87%EV -10.05%E -5.52%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -9.59%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 15:45
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.37%E -2.10%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.84%EV -10.54%E -5.82%K -13.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 15:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -8.69%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -11.04%E -6.13%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -10.79%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 15:45
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.09%E -3.21%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -3.56%E -0.890%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:45
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.60%E -2.93%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -5.97%E -1.53%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -12.03%E -6.76%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -12.00%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.03%EV -10.01%E -2.95%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.72%EV -12.03%E -6.76%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -12.00%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 27.16%EV -14.51%E -4.49%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.01%EV -11.53%E -6.44%K -14.60%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.84%EV -11.28%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.04%E -6.13%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -9.59%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 26.98%EV -16.63%E -5.28%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 49.41%EV -14.99%E -8.72%K -20.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.61%EV -13.21%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%17.7%2026-11-01 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -19.28%E -6.32%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 48.56%EV -13.01%E -7.39%K -17.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.42%EV -12.00%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.23%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%13.3%2026-11-01 15:45