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St Mirren v Partick Thistle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
St Mirren (Local)
Prediction 50.48%1.98fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -2.71%
Kelly -5.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.43%50.55%50.49%51.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.851.8859.52%54.56%54.05%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Partick Thistle (Visit)
Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV +6.05%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.56%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 4.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.69%21.64%21.83%22.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.274.254.8825.00%23.42%23.53%20.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.78%3.60fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -0.787%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.55%27.82%27.69%29.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.333.343.5031.75%30.01%29.90%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 50.48%; Partick Thistle (Visit): 21.73%; Draw: 27.78%. For Partick Thistle (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.05%.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.33%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.88I 20.49%NM 19.78%EV +6.05%E +1.24%K +1.56%G +0.094% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.89%EV -7.20%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.10%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV +3.23%E +0.680%K +0.861%G +0.028% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -11.09%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.20%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -2.20%E -0.490%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.90%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -6.55%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.52%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -7.64%E -1.80%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 18:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.78%EV -5.09%E -2.71%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -6.92%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.33%EV -8.62%E -4.76%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -2.76%E -0.787%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -7.61%E -4.16%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.72%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -5.53%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-25 18:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.46%EV -10.14%E -5.70%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -10.90%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.70%E -2.99%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -6.61%E -3.57%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.31%E -2.52%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-25 18:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -15.19%E -9.04%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -13.07%E -3.27%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-25 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.