The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

St Mirren v Dundee FC

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: St Mirren 2–1 Dundee FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

St Mirren (Local)

Prediction 41.89%2.39fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.843%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.69%41.94%41.88%44.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.192.202.3650.76%45.71%45.45%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dundee FC (Visit)

Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%31.87%31.92%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.953.2536.36%33.76%33.90%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.20%3.82fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.465%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.85%26.20%26.20%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.543.553.7530.30%28.22%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St Mirren (Local): 41.89%; Dundee FC (Visit): 31.91%; Draw: 26.20%. For Dundee FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%EV -8.69%E -3.98%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV +3.71%E +1.14%K +1.65%G +0.061%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.40%EV -8.69%E -3.98%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.78%EV +3.71%E +1.14%K +1.65%G +0.061%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -11.20%E -5.28%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -1.08%E -0.347%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -11.20%E -5.28%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -1.08%E -0.347%K -0.513%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:20
BetUS🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.86%EV -3.24%E -1.40%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -2.03%E -0.663%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.64%EV -4.89%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-24 13:55
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.66%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.26%EV -2.03%E -0.663%K -0.983%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.08%EV -3.58%E -0.972%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-24 13:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -2.67%E -0.876%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -6.98%E -1.97%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-24 13:18
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -1.15%E -0.486%K -0.843%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.04%EV -3.63%E -1.20%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 09:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.33%E -2.36%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.68%EV -5.33%E -2.36%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:50
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-24 13:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 07:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 07:21
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:50
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.79%EV -13.71%E -6.66%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.74%E -0.465%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-24 09:15
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.66%E -1.59%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-24 13:00
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-22 07:00
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -14.13%E -6.89%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.52%EV -14.13%E -6.89%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -5.86%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 13:20
Bovada🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.76%EV -7.43%E -3.36%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.50%EV -6.50%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-24 13:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 09:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-24 09:15
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 11:10
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 11:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.69%EV -6.59%E -2.96%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.26%EV -7.24%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 03:25
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:50
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -7.01%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:54
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.51%EV -7.01%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -5.75%E -2.56%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.53%E -4.10%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -3.05%E -0.825%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -4.36%E -1.20%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-24 09:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.83%EV -9.10%E -4.20%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 10:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%EV -10.01%E -3.55%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -9.60%E -2.78%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 03:25
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -10.65%E -3.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.29%E -2.37%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 09:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 43.80%EV -17.48%E -8.87%K -18.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.65%E -3.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -10.91%E -3.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-24 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.85%E -3.57%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-24 13:49
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -12.04%E -5.73%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -5.67%E -1.58%K -2.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-24 09:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.39%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Smarkets◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.10%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-10-24 13:50