Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone v Celtic

Início: 2026-09-09 19:00 UTC

Final: St Johnstone 0–1 Celtic

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

St Johnstone (Local)

Previsão 13.96%7.16odd justa
EV +4.68%
Vantagem +0.624%
Kelly +0.720%
Crescimento +0.034%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.30%14.02%13.90%15.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.806.486.407.5017.24%15.44%15.63%13.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Celtic (Visitante)

Previsão 67.11%1.49odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -2.34%
Kelly -7.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
64.12%66.88%67.18%68.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.321.401.401.4475.76%71.55%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.94%5.28odd justa
EV +0.743%
Vantagem +0.140%
Kelly +0.172%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.14%19.10%18.92%21.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.304.784.805.3223.26%20.94%20.83%18.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: St Johnstone (Local): 13.96%; Celtic (Visitante): 67.11%; Empate: 18.94%. Para St Johnstone (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.16. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.68%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV +4.68%E +0.624%K +0.720%G +0.034%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.86%EV -10.08%E -7.52%K -29.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.83%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:38
Coolbet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 13.11%EV +1.19%E +0.165%K +0.191%G +0.002%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.88%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-09 16:55
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.87%EV +1.19%E +0.165%K +0.191%G +0.002%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.09%EV -8.07%E -5.89%K -21.80%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 17:40
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:29
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:25
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 17:29
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-09 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Bet Right🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 16:55
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.74%E -6.42%K -24.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:40
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -16.68%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -9.41%E -6.97%K -26.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 17:15
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -2.30%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -8.74%E -6.42%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:35
Pinnacle🎯6.94I 14.41%NM 13.90%EV -3.13%E -0.452%K -0.528%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.96%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 18.14%EV +0.743%E +0.140%K +0.172%G +0.001%3.6%2026-09-09 17:35
Marathon Bet🎯6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -4.39%E -0.641%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -6.26%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 17:35
1xBet🎯6.83I 14.64%NM 13.71%EV -4.67%E -0.684%K -0.801%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.37%EV -6.72%E -4.84%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.92%EV -6.26%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.74%EV -5.09%E -0.748%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.72%E -4.84%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.74%EV -5.09%E -0.748%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.20%EV -6.72%E -4.84%K -17.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -7.21%E -1.47%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 17:40
Betsson🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -5.09%E -0.748%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -18.57%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:35
NordicBet🎯6.80I 14.71%NM 13.57%EV -5.09%E -0.748%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.97%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.46%EV -18.57%E -4.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 17:35
LeoVegas🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -5.79%E -0.857%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:25
Fanatics🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -9.27%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 16:51
DraftKings🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.27%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.71%EV -5.38%E -3.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 17:11
Betway🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -9.27%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-09 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -9.27%E -1.43%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 67.66%EV -11.42%E -8.65%K -35.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-09 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.67%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -4.04%E -2.82%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.00%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 09:05
ATG (SE)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -10.67%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -4.04%E -2.82%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -11.00%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-08 09:05
Codere (IT)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.21%EV -10.67%E -1.67%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.85%EV -8.74%E -6.42%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-09 17:30
NetBet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 14.13%EV -12.07%E -1.92%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.93%EV -10.75%E -8.08%K -32.57%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -11.00%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-09 17:40
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -12.76%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.26%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
BetUS🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.72%EV -12.76%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.68%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.59%EV -6.26%E -1.27%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 17:10
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
Grosvenor🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
Casumo🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
betPARX🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
Unibet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -14.86%E -2.44%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.59%EV -4.71%E -3.32%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -14.79%E -3.29%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 09:05
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.37%E -2.34%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Neds🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.37%E -2.34%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.37%E -2.34%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.37%E -2.34%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.32%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-09 16:55
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.09%EV -4.04%E -2.82%K -9.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.39%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:55
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:10
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.11%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.29%EV -5.38%E -3.82%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -16.68%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-08 09:05
BetRivers🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -16.68%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-08 09:05
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -16.25%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -8.74%E -6.42%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 17:16
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -19.05%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -6.05%E -4.32%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -16.68%E -3.79%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-08 09:05
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -19.05%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.30%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -17.63%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 09:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.30%EV -19.05%E -3.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.30%EV -7.39%E -5.36%K -19.46%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.40%EV -17.63%E -4.05%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-08 09:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Matchbook◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.00I 12.50%NM 12.40%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.88%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-09-09 17:40
Kalshi◎7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-09-09 17:35