Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers v St Mirren

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 70.29%1.42fair odd
EV -0.187%
Edge -0.132%
Kelly -0.445%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.13%70.00%70.55%71.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.321.321.4278.13%75.55%75.76%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Mirren (Visit)

Prediction 11.14%8.98fair odd
EV +3.59%
Edge +0.386%
Kelly +0.432%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.02%11.18%11.11%13.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.138.009.3015.38%12.31%12.50%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.57%5.38fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.85%18.82%18.34%21.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.914.905.2923.26%20.39%20.41%18.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 70.29%; St Mirren (Visit): 11.14%; Draw: 18.57%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.98. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Marathon Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.02%EV +3.59%E +0.386%K +0.432%G +0.016%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-17 05:59
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.248%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV +0.248%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 04:54
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV +0.248%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 15:04
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.68%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.55%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +0.248%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 06:04
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.93%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV +0.248%E +0.028%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.82%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-17 05:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV -2.54%E -0.290%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 15:05
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 06:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.14%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.06%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.80%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 00:34
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.46%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.94%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 15:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-17 04:54
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:33
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -5.32%E -0.626%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 14:33
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.00%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.47I 11.81%NM 11.15%EV -5.66%E -0.668%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.85%EV -1.76%E -0.333%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 15:09
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -5.81%E -4.34%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-17 06:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 06:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 06:20
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -2.50%E -0.477%K -0.589%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 06:20
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 14:29
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -5.29%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-16 15:08
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:35
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.22%E -5.47%K -22.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.78%EV -9.00%E -1.84%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 00:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:29
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.51%E -4.90%K -19.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.58%E -3.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 14:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:34
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.63%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.06%EV -11.79%E -2.48%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-16 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.49%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -10.89%E -1.36%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -12.72%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 00:34
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -0.187%E -0.132%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -13.12%E -1.68%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -20.15%E -4.69%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:29
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.13%EV -0.187%E -0.132%K -0.445%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV -13.12%E -1.68%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -20.15%E -4.69%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 07:29
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -3.00%E -2.17%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.24%EV -14.79%E -1.93%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -12.72%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 09:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.19%EV -7.92%E -6.05%K -25.55%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.93%EV -15.35%E -2.02%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.88%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 15:04
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -16.46%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.15%E -1.43%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.39%EV -8.62%E -6.63%K -28.74%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -16.46%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.30%EV -10.03%E -7.83%K -35.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.83%EV -16.46%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -12.72%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.30%EV -10.03%E -7.83%K -35.81%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.83%EV -16.46%E -2.19%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.87%EV -12.72%E -2.71%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 00:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -5.11%E -3.78%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV -19.80%E -2.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -10.86%E -2.26%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 67.51%EV -10.03%E -7.83%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.29%EV -27.60%E -4.25%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -16.43%E -3.65%K -4.70%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-16 15:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.57%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.82%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%2.0%2026-08-17 21:19
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 70.68%8.40I 11.90%NM 10.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%8.8%2026-08-17 04:55