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Rangers v St Mirren

2026-09-09 18:45 UTC — Premiership - Scotland

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 70.80%1.41fair odd
EV -4.43%
Edge -3.28%
Kelly -12.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.43%70.75%70.85%72.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3580.00%76.20%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Mirren (Visit)

Prediction 11.48%8.71fair odd
EV +4.00%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.497%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 9.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.45%11.48%11.45%12.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.407.957.909.0613.51%12.57%12.66%11.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.72%5.64fair odd
EV +0.323%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.069%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.73%17.77%17.70%19.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.165.205.6620.83%19.40%19.23%17.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Rangers (Local): 70.80%; St Mirren (Visit): 11.48%; Draw: 17.72%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.71. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.06, producing a positive expected value of +4.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.82%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%9.06I 11.04%NM 10.45%EV +4.00%E +0.442%K +0.497%G +0.020%5.66I 17.67%NM 16.73%EV +0.323%E +0.057%K +0.069%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -2.43%E -0.285%K -0.323%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.51%E -0.457%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.19%EV -2.43%E -0.285%K -0.323%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.51%E -0.457%K -0.558%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-05 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.43%E -0.285%K -0.323%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -2.43%E -0.285%K -0.323%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-05 23:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.19%EV -7.26%E -5.54%K -23.41%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -5.87%E -0.716%K -0.815%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -5.17%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-05 23:05
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.94%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.56%EV -7.02%E -0.866%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.50%EV -5.17%E -0.967%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -8.16%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-05 23:03
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -8.16%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.94%E -1.32%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.16%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.38%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -8.16%E -1.02%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -11.38%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.70%EV -10.46%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.83%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 70.75%EV -8.67%E -6.72%K -29.91%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.70%EV -10.46%E -1.34%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -7.83%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 00:35
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.16%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.87%EV -11.03%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.97%EV -14.03%E -2.89%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.10%EV -11.51%E -9.20%K -46.02%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.47%EV -11.03%E -1.42%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-06 01:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 70.78%EV -10.80%E -8.57%K -41.53%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.73%EV -12.76%E -1.68%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.49%EV -9.60%E -1.88%K -2.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.40%EV -6.55%E -4.96%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -13.90%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -4.29%E -0.794%K -0.974%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-05 23:05
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.43%EV -4.43%E -3.28%K -12.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.90%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -14.92%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.90%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.92%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.90%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.92%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -5.84%E -4.39%K -17.70%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -13.90%E -1.85%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -14.92%E -3.11%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.55%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.24%EV -15.05%E -2.03%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.11%EV -11.38%E -2.28%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 72.16%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.52%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.32%4.2%2026-09-06 00:40
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05