Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.31
assuming max odds 12.50
assuming max odds 6.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 73.93%; St Mirren (Visit): 9.82%; Draw: 16.26%. For St Mirren (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.19. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.69%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +22.69%E +1.82%K +1.97%G +0.448% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.97%E -4.58%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.35%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV +22.69%E +1.82%K +1.97%G +0.448% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -21.97%E -4.58%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.81%E -8.04%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +17.78%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.288% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -9.81%E -8.04%K -44.58%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +17.78%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.288% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.45%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +7.97%E +0.724%K +0.797%G +0.064% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -21.15%E -4.36%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -9.07%E -7.37%K -39.43%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.67%EV +5.51%E +0.513%K +0.566%G +0.031% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -11.29%E -9.41%K -56.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV +3.06%E +0.292%K +0.322%G +0.010% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV +0.792%E +0.128%K +0.152%G +0.001% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.54%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.90%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 17:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -1.85%E -0.185%K -0.205%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.49%EV -3.15%E -2.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.03%EV -5.77%E -0.601%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 5.84I 17.12%NM 16.48%EV -5.06%E -0.867%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -3.89%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -6.75%E -0.711%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV -5.71%E -0.985%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.48%EV -3.89%E -3.00%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -6.75%E -0.711%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV -5.71%E -0.985%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.03%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.05%EV -6.75%E -0.711%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -6.75%E -0.711%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV -6.75%E -0.711%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.12%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.23%E -0.880%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.86%EV -9.78%E -1.76%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.31%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.07%EV -9.21%E -0.995%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV -8.96%E -1.60%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.67%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV +5.67%E +0.872%K +1.03%G +0.058% | 4.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.49%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.42%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -6.52%E -1.13%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.38%EV -10.55%E -8.72%K -50.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -11.66%E -1.30%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.75%EV -13.84%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.66%EV -10.55%E -8.72%K -50.22%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.13%EV -13.62%E -1.55%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -10.59%E -1.93%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.12%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.71%E -0.985%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.15%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.70%EV -14.12%E -1.61%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%EV -5.71%E -0.985%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.33%EV -7.34%E -1.29%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-09 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.07%EV -5.37%E -4.20%K -19.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -2.46%E -0.410%K -0.492%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-09 16:41 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -12.21%E -2.26%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.15%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -13.84%E -2.61%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.03%EV -6.85%E -5.44%K -26.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -16.57%E -1.95%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -14.65%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.08%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.46%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -14.65%E -2.79%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 09:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -4.63%E -3.59%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -18.72%E -3.74%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-09 17:16 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -6.11%E -4.81%K -22.64%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -15.46%E -2.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-09 17:21 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.60%EV -7.59%E -6.07%K -30.36%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.19%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -15.46%E -2.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -15.46%E -2.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.76%EV -8.33%E -6.72%K -34.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.12%EV -21.48%E -2.68%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.11%EV -15.46%E -2.97%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 79.35% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 7.14% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.51% | 0.0% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.76% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.12% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.12% | 0.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.16% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.94% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.90% | 0.7% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.90% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.72% | 1.3% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 79.11% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.27% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.62% | 1.9% | 2026-09-09 17:40 |