The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Rangers v St Johnstone

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:03 UTC

Final: Rangers 4–0 St Johnstone

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 79.25%1.26fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -7.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.39%79.12%79.33%81.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.181.191.2490.09%84.48%84.03%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Johnstone (Visit)

Prediction 6.79%14.74fair odd
EV +7.63%
Edge +0.481%
Kelly +0.513%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 15.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.04%6.88%6.74%8.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5013.0313.0015.869.52%7.68%7.69%6.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 13.96%7.16fair odd
EV +11.69%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.195%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.58%14.00%13.94%15.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.616.608.0016.95%15.14%15.15%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 79.25%; St Johnstone (Visit): 6.79%; Draw: 13.96%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.16. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.29%EV -9.65%E -8.47%K -68.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV +11.69%E +1.46%K +1.67%G +0.195%7.9%2026-10-24 13:23
1xBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.79%EV -3.31%E -2.71%K -15.05%G +0.000%11.20I 8.93%NM 8.58%EV -24.00%E -2.14%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +6.25%E +0.821%K +0.945%G +0.059%4.0%2026-10-24 13:50
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.67%EV -9.65%E -8.47%K -68.94%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +4.71%E +0.628%K +0.725%G +0.034%8.7%2026-10-24 13:09
SportsBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.95%EV -8.86%E -7.70%K -59.06%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV +1.22%E +0.168%K +0.195%G +0.002%7.4%2026-10-24 13:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.29%EV -11.24%E -10.03%K -93.64%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.64%EV +0.521%E +0.072%K +0.084%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:30
Pinnacle🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.52%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.94%G +0.000%15.86I 6.31%NM 6.04%EV +7.63%E +0.481%K +0.513%G +0.039%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.44%EV -0.456%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 13:50
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.57%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 13:00
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.68%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.94%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.77%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 13:55
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.94%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.01%EV -8.39%E -0.621%K -0.671%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-24 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.82%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:00
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 12:59
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-24 12:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:35
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-24 13:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -9.65%E -8.47%K -68.94%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -2.27%E -0.324%K -0.378%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-24 13:09
BetUS🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.85%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%15.24I 6.56%NM 6.29%EV +3.42%E +0.224%K +0.240%G +0.008%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.87%EV -3.53%E -0.510%K -0.597%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-24 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.87%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -15.17%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.06%E -0.745%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.87%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.45%EV -15.17%E -1.21%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.69%EV -5.06%E -0.745%K -0.873%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.18%EV -1.73%E -1.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.18%EV -1.73%E -1.39%K -7.19%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.46%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.36%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-24 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.51%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.36%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-24 13:55
LeoVegas🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.73%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-24 13:33
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.83%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%14.75I 6.78%NM 6.33%EV +0.094%E +0.006%K +0.007%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.56%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.65%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -5.76%E -0.854%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 13:45
Betsson🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV -1.60%E -0.111%K -0.119%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -7.86%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 10:20
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.49%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.41%EV -1.60%E -0.111%K -0.119%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.09%EV -7.86%E -1.19%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-24 10:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.72%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.75%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-24 13:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.21%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.94%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV +1.79%E +0.119%K +0.128%G +0.002%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.86%EV -5.69%E -4.78%K -29.94%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.70%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:03
Bet Right🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.00%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -5.00%E -0.357%K -0.384%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-24 13:55
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -9.25%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-24 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.53%EV -4.10%E -3.39%K -19.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.65%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.53%EV -4.10%E -3.39%K -19.54%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.66%EV -10.65%E -1.66%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Casumo🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:31
TABtouch🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:31
betPARX🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.14%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.05%EV -21.96%E -1.91%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.81%EV -12.74%E -2.04%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.75%EV -7.27%E -6.22%K -42.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.67%EV -13.44%E -2.17%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-24 13:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.16%EV -10.44%E -9.24%K -80.34%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.36%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.48%EV -14.84%E -2.43%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:55
William Hill🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.38%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -11.78%E -0.906%K -0.982%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -4.90%E -4.08%K -24.48%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 05:29
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -18.57%E -1.55%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-24 05:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -28.75%E -2.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -28.75%E -2.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.39%EV -6.48%E -5.49%K -36.01%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -28.75%E -2.74%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.02%EV -16.23%E -2.71%K -3.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-24 13:31
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 77.58%EV -12.03%E -10.84%K -109.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.83%EV -25.35%E -2.30%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.59%EV -17.63%E -2.99%K -3.60%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-24 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.56%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.36%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08%0.9%2026-10-24 13:50
Smarkets◎1.20I 83.33%NM 82.19%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.48%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.33%1.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Kalshi◎1.20I 83.33%NM 81.43%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.86%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-10-24 13:01

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