Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers v Motherwell

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -4.45%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -8.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.16%61.66%61.60%63.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5571.43%66.63%66.67%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Motherwell (Visit)

Prediction 16.94%5.90fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.275%
Kelly +0.330%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.48%17.00%16.98%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.555.506.0021.05%18.02%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.577%
Kelly +0.729%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.29%21.35%21.42%22.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.354.354.8025.00%22.98%22.99%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 61.65%; Motherwell (Visit): 16.94%; Draw: 21.41%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.67. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.56%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -13.60%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV +2.77%E +0.577%K +0.729%G +0.020%8.0%2026-04-21 16:05
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -15.29%E -3.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV +1.70%E +0.358%K +0.453%G +0.008%7.7%2026-04-21 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -15.29%E -3.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -1.51%E -0.329%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 17:19
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.82%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.84I 17.12%NM 16.24%EV -1.06%E -0.182%K -0.220%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 20.94%EV -3.01%E -0.665%K -0.853%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV -2.59%E -0.450%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -3.65%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.42%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.50%EV -2.59%E -0.450%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -3.65%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 01:59
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -19.53%E -4.11%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.65%E -0.812%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:04
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -8.52%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.72%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:05
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.61%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -8.52%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.05%EV -4.72%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -11.06%E -2.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 20:04
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -11.06%E -2.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 02:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:04
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -11.91%E -2.29%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 20:04
Unibet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:59
LeoVegas🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.01%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -5.79%E -1.32%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.20%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.14%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:05
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.17%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:00
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.17%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 02:00
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.17%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:59
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.17%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.330%G +0.005%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.35%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 01:59
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV -5.13%E -0.916%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:18
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.32%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.47%EV -5.13%E -0.916%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -6.86%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 17:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 11:48
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.39%EV -3.27%E -0.572%K -0.693%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 03:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -11.06%E -2.11%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 02:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.13%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.35%EV -3.43%E -0.603%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:35
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 12:44
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.29%E -3.06%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 16:30
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:03
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 01:59
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -1.74%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.52%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.64%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.52%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.00%EV -10.61%E -7.32%K -23.58%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -1.74%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.25%EV -7.94%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 02:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.01%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -1.74%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 01:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.01%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -1.74%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 02:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.17%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.57%EV -1.74%E -0.300%K -0.363%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -9.01%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 02:00
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 03:44
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:04
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:05
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 17:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -6.82%E -1.24%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -10.08%E -2.40%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.24%EV -9.99%E -6.84%K -21.72%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.77%EV -16.14%E -3.26%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.99%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 14:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.56%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.90%EV -13.60%E -2.67%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.54%EV -14.36%E -3.59%K -4.79%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 06:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Kalshi1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.64%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%8.1%2026-04-24 00:34