Language:English
Rangers v Kilmarnock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rangers (Local)
Prediction 82.06%1.22fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -3.41%
Kelly -23.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.28%81.92%82.14%83.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.131.131.1792.59%88.20%88.11%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kilmarnock (Visit)
Prediction 6.37%15.71fair odd
EV +14.60%
Edge +0.811%
Kelly +0.859%
Growth +0.125%
assuming max odds 18.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.16%6.44%6.31%7.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5014.7115.0018.008.70%6.80%6.67%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 11.57%8.64fair odd
EV +4.14%
Edge +0.460%
Kelly +0.517%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.22%11.65%11.54%14.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.307.928.009.0015.87%12.62%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 82.06%; Kilmarnock (Visit): 6.37%; Draw: 11.57%. For Kilmarnock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.71. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 18.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.60%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.77%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +14.60%E +0.811%K +0.859%G +0.125% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.07%EV -23.63%E -3.58%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 04:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.77%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.16%EV +14.60%E +0.811%K +0.859%G +0.125% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.07%EV -23.63%E -3.58%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-05 04:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.85%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.60%EV +8.23%E +0.484%K +0.514%G +0.042% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.55%EV -4.54%E -0.550%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-22 20:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.67%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.54%EV +8.23%E +0.484%K +0.514%G +0.042% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 20:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.21%EV -4.81%E -4.14%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV +8.23%E +0.484%K +0.514%G +0.042% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -24.79%E -3.81%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-03 18:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.26%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.91%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-22 20:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.39%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.74%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.09%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.87%EV +1.87%E +0.117%K +0.124%G +0.002% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.05%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.51%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 15.25I 6.56%NM 6.11%EV -2.91%E -0.191%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.37%EV -5.12%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-30 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.26%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 02:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.26%EV -3.99%E -3.41%K -23.45%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.42%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.32%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-05 02:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.15%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.32%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.53%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 5.5% | 2026-09-22 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.94%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.28%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-22 14:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-04 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.07%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-02 06:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-22 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -5.12%E -0.624%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-30 12:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-03 18:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-01 17:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV +4.14%E +0.460%K +0.517%G +0.021% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.91%E -8.03%K -81.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 00:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.46%EV -8.91%E -8.03%K -81.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.10%EV -4.50%E -0.300%K -0.322%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.63%E -4.89%K -37.52%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.54%EV -7.68%E -0.530%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -0.490%E -0.057%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-04 16:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.74%EV -4.81%E -4.14%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.77%EV -10.87%E -0.776%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.49%EV -4.54%E -0.550%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-05 02:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.34%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -10.87%E -0.776%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.15%EV -13.22%E -1.76%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-01 14:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 80.94%EV -8.09%E -7.22%K -67.42%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.47%EV -10.87%E -0.776%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.59%EV -16.69%E -2.32%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-01 21:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -10.87%E -0.776%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.23%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.46%EV -10.87%E -0.776%K -0.836%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 08:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.02%EV -4.81%E -4.14%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -17.23%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 02:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.02%EV -4.81%E -4.14%K -30.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.23%EV -17.23%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-05 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.42%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -17.23%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-22 20:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 80.88%EV -9.73%E -8.85%K -97.31%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84%EV -17.23%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.27%EV -16.11%E -2.22%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.36%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -23.60%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -1.65%E -0.194%K -0.220%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -23.60%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-23 09:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -6.45%E -5.66%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.68%EV -23.60%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -7.43%E -0.929%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-30 00:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 79.28%EV -11.37%E -10.53%K -142.16%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.13%EV -23.60%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.59%EV -27.10%E -4.30%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-10-04 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.44%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -26.78%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -9.75%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 80.44%EV -7.27%E -6.43%K -55.92%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.90%EV -26.78%E -2.33%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.65%EV -9.75%E -1.25%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.94% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.89% | 1.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 80.09% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.84% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.07% | 12.5% | 2026-10-03 14:10 |