Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers v Celtic

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rangers (Local)

Prediction 44.36%2.25fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.61%44.38%44.39%45.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.092.102.1552.63%47.93%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Celtic (Visit)

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.363%
Kelly -0.521%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.79%29.93%29.95%31.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.113.123.3035.09%32.18%32.05%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.365%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.69%25.66%26.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.633.603.8531.25%27.55%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rangers (Local): 44.36%; Celtic (Visit): 29.94%; Draw: 25.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -1.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.00%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.86%EV -2.99%E -0.924%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -1.04%E -0.270%K -0.365%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.33%E -0.612%K -0.831%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 08:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 09:28
BetOnline.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.22%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-01 09:29
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 09:30
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 08:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 11:29
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 09:48
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 08:29
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -4.63%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -13.17%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 04:30
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -1.20%E -0.363%K -0.521%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 10:29
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 11:29
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -5.97%E -2.81%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 11:28
1xBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.36%EV -6.41%E -3.04%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.00%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 11:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.69%E -0.829%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 10:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.33%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -2.69%E -0.829%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-01 10:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -2.69%E -0.829%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 10:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 10:29
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 10:58
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:29
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:29
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 10:29
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 10:29
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 11:29
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 08:26
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 09:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 10:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-01 09:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.85%E -3.26%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 08:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -7.30%E -3.49%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 11:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -7.74%E -3.72%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 10:29
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:29
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 11:29
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 11:28
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.18%E -3.95%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.25%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 11:29
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 10:29
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 10:29
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 10:29
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 10:29
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -3.61%E -0.963%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-01 11:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 10:29
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.42%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.96%EV -11.32%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-01 08:59
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.32%EV -9.51%E -4.66%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -10.40%E -5.15%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 11:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 10:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-01 10:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.29%E -5.64%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.17%E -4.54%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-01 10:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.22%EV -13.51%E -6.93%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.04%EV -14.07%E -4.90%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.74%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-01 09:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 44.24%EV -15.72%E -8.28%K -17.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.49%EV -14.67%E -5.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.27%EV -17.75%E -5.55%K -8.07%G +0.000%19.0%2026-03-01 11:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 10:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 10:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 10:59
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-01 10:39