Language:English
Partick Thistle v St Mirren
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Partick Thistle (Local)
Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.64%33.16%33.10%34.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.802.9538.17%35.83%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St Mirren (Visit)
Prediction 36.78%2.72fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%36.72%36.80%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.522.522.6042.19%39.61%39.68%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.12%3.32fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.46%30.12%30.11%30.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.823.083.103.2035.46%32.45%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Partick Thistle (Local): 33.10%; St Mirren (Visit): 36.78%; Draw: 30.12%. For Partick Thistle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -2.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.64%EV -2.37%E -0.803%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.18%EV -4.74%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.18%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.68%E -1.99%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.71%EV -6.58%E -2.59%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.68%EV -6.34%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.68%EV -6.34%E -2.24%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.00%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.67%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.31%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.02%EV -6.67%E -2.37%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.95%EV -7.31%E -2.90%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.38%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.66%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -6.01%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-21 18:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.33%E -2.62%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.05%E -3.22%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -4.37%E -1.68%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.99%E -3.27%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -11.73%E -4.89%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -10.64%E -3.94%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.21%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -6.61%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-21 18:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 32.95%EV -13.29%E -5.07%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.43%EV -12.83%E -5.41%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.62%EV -15.05%E -5.34%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-05-21 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.